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Central Europe Cup · 2025 · Men
8 Jun 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Austria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Czech Republic started on 31%; Czech Republic batted first.
Czech Republic's chances ranged from 0% to 45% during the match (Austria: 55% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Davizicaught · Karanbir Singh · Aqib Iqbal 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Karanbir Singh · b Aqib Iqbal | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| RM Magarecaught · Sahel Zadran · Bilal Zalmai 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sahel Zadran · b Bilal Zalmai | 31 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 114.81 |
| Sazib Bhuiyancaught · Amar Naeem · Sahel Zadran 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Amar Naeem · b Sahel Zadran | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 116.67 |
| M Vandrasicaught · H Khogiyani · Bilal Zalmai 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · H Khogiyani · b Bilal Zalmai | 18 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 90.00 |
| Ritik Tomarcaught · H Khogiyani · Waqar Zalmai 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · H Khogiyani · b Waqar Zalmai | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
| P Baghelcaught · H Khogiyani · Bilal Zalmai 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · H Khogiyani · b Bilal Zalmai |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| S Grovernot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 25* | 28 | 1 | 0 | 89.29 |
|---|
| V Marghashayamrun out · Hamid Safi, Amar Naeem · Bilal Zalmai 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Hamid Safi, Amar Naeem | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Abul Farhadcaught · Waqar Zalmai · Bilal Zalmai 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waqar Zalmai · b Bilal Zalmai | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
| S Chaudharybowled · Sahel Zadran 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Sahel Zadran | 12 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Neeraj Mishrabowled · Sahel Zadran 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sahel Zadran | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 9 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aqib Iqbal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Waqar Zalmai0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Sahel Zadran0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 2.73 | 0 | 0 |
| Bilal Zalmai0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 3.50 | 1 | 1 |
| Umair Tariq0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Karanbir Singh0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 5 | 0 |
1-22 (S Davizi, 2.2) · 2-31 (Sazib Bhuiyan, 3.5) · 3-63 (M Vandrasi, 9.2) · 4-64 (RM Magare, 9.4) · 5-64 (P Baghel, 10.0) · 6-70 (Ritik Tomar, 11.0) · 7-71 (V Marghashayam, 11.2) · 8-77 (Abul Farhad, 13.2) · 9-101 (S Chaudhary, 16.4) · 10-113 (Neeraj Mishra, 18.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 21/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 28/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 32/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 37/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 41/2 |
| 7 | 9 | 50/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 56/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 62/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 64/5 |
| 11 | 6 | 70/6 |
| 12 | 1 | 71/7 |
| 13 | 6 | 77/7 |
| 14 | 5 | 82/8 |
| 15 | 13 | 95/8 |
| 16 | 5 | 100/8 |
| 17 | 1 | 101/9 |
| 18 | 11 | 112/9 |
| 19 | 1 | 113/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.