HungaryversusAustria

27 Jun 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Austria won by 8 wickets

Hungary20.0 overs125/9 Austria13.2 overs129/2 GB Oval, Szodliget ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Austria more likely to win

26%Hungary74%Austria

Why

On results in T20 internationals so far, Austria rate stronger than Hungary (1,528 vs 1,374 on our results rating)
In the last 5 T20 internationals between these sides, Austria won 4 and Hungary won 1
Hungary are playing at home in Hungary

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Hungary started on 25%; Hungary batted first.

Hungary’s chance of winning (%) · Austria is the rest

Hungary's chances ranged from 0% to 35% during the match (Austria: 65% to 100%).

Biggest swings

3.2: Faridullah Shams to V Ravindran, V Ravindran out. Austria up from 65% to 74%.
4.4: Baseer Khan to Abbas Ghani, Muhammad Soban out. Austria up from 71% to 79%.
10.6: Bilal Zalmai to Kasir Ahmed, Kasir Ahmed out. Austria up from 70% to 75%.

Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Hungary125/9 Austria129/2

Innings 1

Hungary

125/920.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Hungary batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
Abbas Ghanicaught · Mansoor Safi · Shadnan Khan 7 fours · 2 sixes	caught · Mansoor Safi · b Shadnan Khan	56	42	7	2	133.33
V Ravindrancaught · Irfan Safi · Faridullah Shams 1 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Irfan Safi · b Faridullah Shams	11	9	1	0	122.22
Muhammad Sobanrun out · Irfan Safi · Baseer Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes	run out · Irfan Safi	2	2	0	0	100.00
Kasir Ahmedcaught · Karanbir Singh · Bilal Zalmai 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Karanbir Singh · b Bilal Zalmai	7	15	0	0	46.67
MP Ainsworthbowled · Abidullah Kotwa 1 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b Abidullah Kotwa	12	17	1	0	70.59

Bowler	Overs	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD
Baseer Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	20	0	6.67	0
Bilal Zalmai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	18	1	4.50	0
Faridullah Shams0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	16	3	5.33	0
Abidullah Kotwa0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	23	1	11.50	1
Shadnan Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	14	1	7.00	0
Waqar Zalmai0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	17	1	5.67	3
KR Jha0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	11	1	3.67	1

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	6	6/0
2	7	13/0
3	9	22/0
4	9	31/1
5	9	40/2
6	3	43/2
7	3	46/2
8	14	60/2
9	5	65/2
10	12	77/2
11	4	81/3
12	2	83/4
13	3	86/4
14	4	90/4
15	8	98/5
16	4	102/5
17	9	111/6
18	3	114/7
19	7	121/7
20	4	125/9

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