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Photo: Mtaylor848
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
15 Jul 2026 · T20
Headingley · Venue photographYorkshire started on 43%; Yorkshire batted first.
Yorkshire's chances ranged from 10% to 100% during the match (Somerset: 0% to 90%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Lythcaught · Riley Meredith · Craig Overton6 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Riley Meredith · b Craig Overton | 64 | 40 | 6 | 3 | 160.00 |
 Moeen Alicaught · Thomas Rew · Craig Overton0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Thomas Rew · b Craig Overton | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 William Luxtoncaught · Thomas Rew · Jake Ball4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Thomas Rew · b Jake Ball | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 130.77 |
 Jonny Bairstowbowled · Riley Meredith0 fours · 0 sixes |
| bowled · b Riley Meredith |
| 1 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 25.00 |
 George Hillcaught · Thomas Rew · Daniel Sams1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Thomas Rew · b Daniel Sams | 19 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 95.00 |
|---|
 Matt Reviscaught · Craig Overton · Daniel Sams0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Craig Overton · b Daniel Sams | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 81.82 |
|---|
 Dominic Besscaught · Craig Overton · Jake Ball0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Craig Overton · b Jake Ball | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| Logan van Beekcaught · Will Smeed · Riley Meredith 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Smeed · b Riley Meredith | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
 Andrew Tyecaught · Thomas Rew · Jake Ball0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Thomas Rew · b Jake Ball | 16 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 200.00 |
|---|
 Hasan Alinot out1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 11* | 5 | 1 | 1 | 220.00 |
|---|
| JA Chohannot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Craig Overton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Riley Meredith0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Jake Ball0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Lewis Gregory0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Lewis Goldsworthy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Daniel Sams0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
1-9 (Moeen Ali, 0.5) · 2-38 (William Luxton, 4.0) · 3-41 (Jonny Bairstow, 5.0) · 4-99 (George Hill, 12.3) · 5-103 (Adam Lyth, 13.3) · 6-111 (Dominic Bess, 15.2) · 7-115 (Matt Revis, 16.4) · 8-135 (Andrew Tye, 18.1) · 9-151 (Logan van Beek, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 14/1 |
| 3 | 19 | 33/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 38/2 |
| 5 | 3 | 41/3 |
| 6 | 4 | 45/3 |
| 7 | 8 | 53/3 |
| 8 | 5 | 58/3 |
| 9 | 11 | 69/3 |
| 10 | 13 | 82/3 |
| 11 | 11 | 93/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 99/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 101/4 |
| 14 | 3 | 104/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 110/5 |
| 16 | 3 | 113/6 |
| 17 | 10 | 123/7 |
| 18 | 12 | 135/7 |
| 19 | 16 | 151/8 |
| 20 | 10 | 161/9 |
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Andrew Tye: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
George Hill: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Revis: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Lyth: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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