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ACC Men's Premier Cup · 2024 · Men
16 Apr 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Cambodia started on 23%; Cambodia batted first.
Cambodia's chances ranged from 0% to 24% during the match (Bahrain: 76% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Hathinjarbowled · Ali Dawood 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ali Dawood | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 62.50 |
| RR Sharancaught · Imran Ali Butt · Ali Dawood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Imran Ali Butt · b Ali Dawood | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| RV Virajcaught · Junaid Aziz · Ali Dawood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Junaid Aziz · b Ali Dawood | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Luqman Buttcaught · Imran Anwar · S Veerapathiran 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Imran Anwar · b S Veerapathiran | 21 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 105.00 |
| Lakshit Guptastumped · Imran Ali Butt · Abdul Majeed 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Imran Ali Butt · b Abdul Majeed | 8 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 53.33 |
| bowled · b Sarfaraz Ali |
| 15 |
| 17 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 88.24 |
| E Beukesbowled · Haider Butt 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Haider Butt | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 111.11 |
|---|
| KDACK Gunarathnebowled · Haider Butt 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Haider Butt | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| S Godarabowled · Haider Butt 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Haider Butt | 17 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 141.67 |
|---|
| Utkarsh Jaincaught and bowled · Abdul Majeed 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Abdul Majeed | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Prasad Anishnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Dawood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Rizwan Butt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Abdul Majeed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| S Veerapathiran0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Imran Anwar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sarfaraz Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Haider Butt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 4.71 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (RR Sharan, 0.2) · 2-1 (RV Viraj, 1.0) · 3-10 (US Hathinjar, 2.3) · 4-34 (Luqman Butt, 7.4) · 5-36 (Lakshit Gupta, 8.3) · 6-59 (Salvin Stanly, 12.1) · 7-61 (E Beukes, 13.3) · 8-78 (KDACK Gunarathne, 15.5) · 9-79 (Utkarsh Jain, 16.4) · 10-83 (S Godara, 17.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | 5/2 |
| 3 | 7 | 12/3 |
| 4 | 10 | 22/3 |
| 5 | 2 | 24/3 |
| 6 | 2 | 26/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 32/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 35/4 |
| 9 | 3 | 38/5 |
| 10 | 5 | 43/5 |
| 11 | 7 | 50/5 |
| 12 | 9 | 59/5 |
| 13 | 1 | 60/6 |
| 14 | 4 | 64/7 |
| 15 | 11 | 75/7 |
| 16 | 3 | 78/8 |
| 17 | 1 | 79/9 |
| 18 | 4 | 83/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.