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Photo: St Kitts & Nevis Government; permission: https://www.flickr.com/photos/skngov/14733563912
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Bangladesh Women tour of West Indies · 2024/25 · Women
19 Jan 2025 · ODI
Warner Park, St Kitts · Venue photographRecorded result
West Indies more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bangladesh started on 38%; Bangladesh batted first.
Bangladesh's chances ranged from 0% to 50% during the match (West Indies: 50% to 100%).
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fargana Hoquecaught · Mandy Mangru · Deandra Dottin1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mandy Mangru · b Deandra Dottin | 10 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 45.45 |
 Murshida Khatuncaught · Deandra Dottin · Hayley Matthews5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Deandra Dottin · b Hayley Matthews | 40 | 53 | 5 | 0 | 75.47 |
 Sharmin Akhterbowled · Hayley Matthews4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hayley Matthews | 42 | 70 | 4 | 0 | 60.00 |
 Nigar Sultana |
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| bowled · b Afy Fletcher |
| 14 |
| 44 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 31.82 |
| Sobhana Mostarycaught · Karishma Ramharack · Aaliyah Alleyne 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Karishma Ramharack · b Aaliyah Alleyne | 35 | 50 | 2 | 1 | 70.00 |
|---|
| Shorna Aktercaught · Cherry-Ann Fraser · Deandra Dottin 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cherry-Ann Fraser · b Deandra Dottin | 29 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 76.32 |
|---|
| Rabeya Khanrun out · Shemaine Campbelle, Jannillea Glasgow · Deandra Dottin 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Shemaine Campbelle, Jannillea Glasgow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Nahida Aktercaught · Shemaine Campbelle · Deandra Dottin1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shemaine Campbelle · b Deandra Dottin | 9 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 69.23 |
|---|
| Sultana Khatuncaught · Karishma Ramharack · Aaliyah Alleyne 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Karishma Ramharack · b Aaliyah Alleyne | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
 Marufa Akternot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Deandra Dottin0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 40 | 3 | 4.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Cherry-Ann Fraser0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 3.20 | 2 | 0 |
| Jannillea Glasgow0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaliyah Alleyne0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 4.40 | 1 | 0 |
 Afy Fletcher1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 32 | 1 | 3.20 | 1 | 0 |
 Hayley Matthews0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 41 | 2 | 4.10 | 3 | 0 |
 Karishma Ramharack1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 37 | 0 | 4.63 | 1 | 0 |
1-25 (Fargana Hoque, 6.5) · 2-69 (Murshida Khatun, 17.2) · 3-115 (Nigar Sultana, 30.4) · 4-123 (Sharmin Akhter, 33.4) · 5-177 (Shorna Akter, 45.1) · 6-178 (Rabeya Khan, 45.2) · 7-184 (Sobhana Mostary, 47.0) · 8-188 (Sultana Khatun, 48.5) · 9-198 (Nahida Akter, 50.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 9/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 14/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 19/0 |
| 6 | 1 | 20/0 |
| 7 | 5 | 25/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 26/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 30/1 |
| 10 | 4 | 34/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 36/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 38/1 |
| 13 | 7 | 45/1 |
| 14 | 8 | 53/1 |
| 15 | 2 | 55/1 |
| 16 | 4 | 59/1 |
| 17 | 8 | 67/1 |
| 18 | 6 | 73/2 |
| 19 | 5 | 78/2 |
| 20 | 3 | 81/2 |
| 21 | 3 | 84/2 |
| 22 | 3 | 87/2 |
| 23 | 0 | 87/2 |
| 24 | 5 | 92/2 |
| 25 | 3 | 95/2 |
| 26 | 6 | 101/2 |
| 27 | 2 | 103/2 |
| 28 | 3 | 106/2 |
| 29 | 4 | 110/2 |
| 30 | 3 | 113/2 |
| 31 | 3 | 116/3 |
| 32 | 5 | 121/3 |
| 33 | 2 | 123/3 |
| 34 | 2 | 125/4 |
| 35 | 1 | 126/4 |
| 36 | 2 | 128/4 |
| 37 | 9 | 137/4 |
| 38 | 9 | 146/4 |
| 39 | 3 | 149/4 |
| 40 | 1 | 150/4 |
| 41 | 0 | 150/4 |
| 42 | 4 | 154/4 |
| 43 | 13 | 167/4 |
| 44 | 5 | 172/4 |
| 45 | 5 | 177/4 |
| 46 | 3 | 180/6 |
| 47 | 4 | 184/7 |
| 48 | 2 | 186/7 |
| 49 | 3 | 189/8 |
| 50 | 9 | 198/9 |
Sharmin Akhter: Digimarka · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nigar Sultana: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hayley Matthews: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Deandra Dottin: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nahida Akter: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Karishma Ramharack: SportsMax TV · CC BY 3.0
Marufa Akter: Press Information Department · Public domain
Shemaine Campbelle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Murshida Khatun: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fargana Hoque: Digimarka · CC BY-SA 4.0
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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