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Nordic T20 Cup · 2025 · Men
14 Jun 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Denmark more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Denmark started on 55%; Denmark batted first.
Denmark's chances ranged from 39% to 100% during the match (Sweden: 0% to 61%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musa Shaheencaught · J Stanigze · Samiullah Rahmani 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · J Stanigze · b Samiullah Rahmani | 29 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 161.11 |
| Hamid Shahcaught · Abdul Naser Baluch · Khalid Zahid 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abdul Naser Baluch · b Khalid Zahid | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Taranjit Bharajcaught · A Mundra · Khalid Zahid 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · A Mundra · b Khalid Zahid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 140.00 |
| Saif Ahmadcaught · Awais Ahmad · Khalid Zahid 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Awais Ahmad · b Khalid Zahid | 17 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 141.67 |
| Shangeev Thanikaithasanlbw · Syed Ali Gillani 1 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Syed Ali Gillani | 28 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 133.33 |
| Abdul Hashmicaught · Hamid Mahmood · A Dhabe 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Hamid Mahmood · b A Dhabe |
| 8 |
| 16 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Lucky Alistumped · A Mundra · A Dhabe 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · A Mundra · b A Dhabe | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Delawar Khancaught · Hamid Mahmood · J Stanigze 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Hamid Mahmood · b J Stanigze | 40 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 190.48 |
|---|
| Saud Munircaught · Abdul Naser Baluch · A Dhabe 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abdul Naser Baluch · b A Dhabe | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Shakeel Zebrun out · A Mundra, Abdul Naser Baluch · J Stanigze 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · A Mundra, Abdul Naser Baluch | 13 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 130.00 |
|---|
| Eshan Kariminot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul Naser Baluch0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Khalid Zahid0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 7.33 | 1 | 0 |
| A Dhabe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Samiullah Rahmani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Hamid Mahmood0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5.00 | 2 | 0 |
| J Stanigze0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 10.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Syed Ali Gillani0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 5.67 | 2 | 0 |
1-13 (Hamid Shah, 1.3) · 2-29 (Taranjit Bharaj, 3.1) · 3-56 (Saif Ahmad, 5.5) · 4-60 (Musa Shaheen, 6.5) · 5-97 (Abdul Hashmi, 12.0) · 6-99 (Shangeev Thanikaithasan, 12.4) · 7-110 (Lucky Ali, 14.1) · 8-134 (Saud Munir, 16.4) · 9-156 (Delawar Khan, 19.1) · 10-166 (Shakeel Zeb, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 19/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 29/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 36/2 |
| 5 | 12 | 48/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 56/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 60/4 |
| 8 | 4 | 64/4 |
| 9 | 13 | 77/4 |
| 10 | 7 | 84/4 |
| 11 | 11 | 95/4 |
| 12 | 2 | 97/5 |
| 13 | 3 | 100/6 |
| 14 | 10 | 110/6 |
| 15 | 4 | 114/7 |
| 16 | 13 | 127/7 |
| 17 | 9 | 136/8 |
| 18 | 16 | 152/8 |
| 19 | 4 | 156/8 |
| 20 | 10 | 166/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.