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Kwibuka Women's Twenty20 Tournament · 2025 · Women
3 Jun 2025 · T20
Gahanga International Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Sierra Leone more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Tanzania started on 42%; Tanzania batted first.
Tanzania's chances ranged from 41% to 100% during the match (Sierra Leone: 0% to 59%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Mtaestumped · Z Kamara · Emma Kamara 0 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Z Kamara · b Emma Kamara | 16 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
| NJ Piusnot out 10 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 77* | 62 | 10 | 0 | 124.19 |
| Fatuma Kibasubowled · Emma Kamara 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Emma Kamara | 21 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 105.00 |
| HM Omarycaught · F Conteh · C Bull 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · F Conteh · b C Bull | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| GL Mushirun out · Emma Kamara, Aminata Kamara · Emma Kamara 3 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Emma Kamara, Aminata Kamara | 19 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 90.48 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 14 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AM Kamara0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Aminata Kamara0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| C Bull0 maidens · 6 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 6 | 1 |
| L Bull0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Emma Kamara0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 1 | 0 |
| A Fillie0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 21.00 | 6 | 0 |
1-37 (S Mtae, 5.3) · 2-90 (Fatuma Kibasu, 12.1) · 3-96 (HM Omary, 13.1) · 4-152 (GL Mushi, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 26/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 31/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 39/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 43/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 50/1 |
| 9 | 21 | 71/1 |
| 10 | 8 | 79/1 |
| 11 | 5 | 84/1 |
| 12 | 6 | 90/1 |
| 13 | 6 | 96/2 |
| 14 | 3 | 99/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 107/3 |
| 16 | 4 | 111/3 |
| 17 | 12 | 123/3 |
| 18 | 8 | 131/3 |
| 19 | 8 | 139/3 |
| 20 | 13 | 152/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.