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Photo: Mnnngchris at English Wikipedia
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Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
29 May 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Derby · Venue photographRecorded result
Derbyshire started on 49%; Derbyshire batted first.
Derbyshire's chances ranged from 46% to 100% during the match (Nottinghamshire: 0% to 54%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aneurin Donaldcaught · Jack Haynes · George Linde7 fours · 8 sixes | caught · Jack Haynes · b George Linde | 84 | 31 | 7 | 8 | 270.97 |
| Martin Anderssonnot out 5 fours · 5 sixes | not out | 69* | 43 | 5 | 5 | 160.47 |
| Caleb Jewellcaught · Jack Haynes · Benny Howell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Haynes · b Benny Howell | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
 Wayne Madsencaught · Mohammad Ali · George Linde4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Ali · b George Linde | 24 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 150.00 |
 |
| caught · Tom Moores · b Mohammad Ali |
| 33 |
| 16 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 206.25 |
| Matthew Montgomerynot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 12* | 5 | 1 | 1 | 240.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Pennington0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| George Linde0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 52 | 2 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Mohammad Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Oli Stone0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 22.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Benny Howell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Freddie McCann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| JA Pocklington0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-112 (Aneurin Donald, 7.4) · 2-135 (Caleb Jewell, 10.4) · 3-172 (Wayne Madsen, 15.1) · 4-207 (Ross Whiteley, 18.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 22/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 34/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 45/0 |
| 5 | 32 | 77/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 82/0 |
| 7 | 21 | 103/0 |
| 8 | 11 | 114/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 122/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 128/1 |
| 11 | 8 | 136/2 |
| 12 | 11 | 147/2 |
| 13 | 9 | 156/2 |
| 14 | 4 | 160/2 |
| 15 | 12 | 172/2 |
| 16 | 11 | 183/3 |
| 17 | 7 | 190/3 |
| 18 | 17 | 207/3 |
| 19 | 12 | 219/4 |
| 20 | 15 | 234/4 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Aitchison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Benny Howell: Evertonfc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jack Morley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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