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Vitality Blast Women · 2026 · Women
22 May 2026 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographLancashire started on 38%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 0% to 77% during the match (Surrey: 23% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Evelyn Jonescaught · Jemima Spence · Priyanaz Chatterji8 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jemima Spence · b Priyanaz Chatterji | 56 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 180.65 |
| Darcey Carterrun out · Bryony Smith · Ryana MacDonald-Gay 4 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Bryony Smith | 35 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 97.22 |
 Meg Lanningcaught · Jemima Spence · Alice Monaghan5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jemima Spence · b Alice Monaghan | 40 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 181.82 |
| Seren Smalerun out · Paige Scholfield · Alice Monaghan 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Paige Scholfield | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
| caught · Alice Davidson-Richards · b Alice Monaghan |
| 13 |
| 11 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 118.18 |
| Ailsa Listerrun out · Jemima Spence, Kira Chathli · Ryana MacDonald-Gay 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Jemima Spence, Kira Chathli | 15 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 187.50 |
|---|
 Kate Crossstumped · Kira Chathli · Kalea Moore0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Kira Chathli · b Kalea Moore | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Fi Morrisnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 4 | 1 | 0 | 175.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 13 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Gregory0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 12.25 | 6 | 0 |
| Kalea Moore0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryana MacDonald-Gay0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 5.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Alice Monaghan0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.00 | 4 | 0 |
| Priyanaz Chatterji0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 10.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-97 (Evelyn Jones, 10.3) · 2-109 (Darcey Carter, 12.0) · 3-118 (Seren Smale, 13.3) · 4-159 (Meg Lanning, 17.1) · 5-166 (Eleanor Threlkeld, 17.5) · 6-169 (Kate Cross, 18.4) · 7-185 (Ailsa Lister, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 22/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 31/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 36/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 48/0 |
| 5 | 11 | 59/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 61/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 67/0 |
| 8 | 7 | 74/0 |
| 9 | 11 | 85/0 |
| 10 | 9 | 94/0 |
| 11 | 10 | 104/1 |
| 12 | 5 | 109/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 116/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 121/3 |
| 15 | 9 | 130/3 |
| 16 | 13 | 143/3 |
| 17 | 16 | 159/3 |
| 18 | 7 | 166/5 |
| 19 | 8 | 174/6 |
| 20 | 11 | 185/7 |
Eleanor Threlkeld: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Meg Lanning: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tara Norris: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kate Cross: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Paige Scholfield: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fi Morris: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Evelyn Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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