Lahore QalandarsversusKarachi Kings

23 Apr 2026 · T20

Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Karachi Kings won by 5 wickets

Lahore Qalandars20.0 overs199/6 Karachi Kings18.4 overs203/5 Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lahore Qalandars started on 59%; Lahore Qalandars batted first.

Lahore Qalandars’s chance of winning (%) · Karachi Kings is the rest

Lahore Qalandars's chances ranged from 0% to 87% during the match (Karachi Kings: 13% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 15.3: DR Sams to Azam Khan, Azam Khan out. Lahore Qalandars up from 60% to 74%.
2nd inns 17.1: Shaheen Shah Afridi to Khushdil Shah, six by Khushdil Shah. Karachi Kings up from 50% to 67%.
2nd inns 17.4: Shaheen Shah Afridi to Khushdil Shah, six by Khushdil Shah. Karachi Kings up from 70% to 85%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Lahore Qalandars199/6 Karachi Kings203/5

Innings 1