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Photo: user:jguk
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Vitality Blast Women · 2025 · Women
13 Jul 2025 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographSurrey started on 69%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 61% to 100% during the match (Somerset: 0% to 39%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryony Smithcaught · Alex Griffiths · Chloe Skelton 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Griffiths · b Chloe Skelton | 16 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 145.45 |
4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rebecca Odgers · b Chloe Skelton | 27 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 142.11 |
| Kira Chathlibowled · E Vukusic 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b E Vukusic | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mollie Robbins | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Alice Monaghan |
| not out |
| 57* |
| 32 |
| 3 |
| 4 |
| 178.13 |
| Emma Jonescaught and bowled · Amanda-Jade Wellington 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Amanda-Jade Wellington | 34 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Phoebe Franklinbowled · E Vukusic 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b E Vukusic | 15 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 136.36 |
|---|
| Kalea Moorenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OJ Barnes0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 1 | 20 | 2 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 | |
| E Vukusic0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 1 | 0 | |
| Alex Griffiths0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 9.67 | 5 | 0 |
1-24 (Bryony Smith, 2.5) · 2-31 (Kira Chathli, 3.5) · 3-53 (Grace Harris, 6.0) · 4-68 (Alice Capsey, 8.2) · 5-153 (Emma Jones, 17.2) · 6-173 (Phoebe Franklin, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 24/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 32/2 |
| 5 | 11 | 43/2 |
| 6 | 10 | 53/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 57/3 |
| 8 | 11 | 68/3 |
| 9 | 0 | 68/4 |
| 10 | 12 | 80/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 85/4 |
| 12 | 11 | 96/4 |
| 13 | 14 | 110/4 |
| 14 | 9 | 119/4 |
| 15 | 13 | 132/4 |
| 16 | 10 | 142/4 |
| 17 | 10 | 152/4 |
| 18 | 4 | 156/5 |
| 19 | 8 | 164/5 |
| 20 | 11 | 175/6 |
Mollie Robbins: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amanda-Jade Wellington: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Gibson: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Grace Harris: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Alice Capsey: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chloe Skelton: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fran Wilson: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.