Trinbago Knight RidersversusBarbados Tridents

5 Sept 2026 · T20

Kensington Oval · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Trinbago Knight Riders won by 21 runs

Trinbago Knight Riders20.0 overs155/10 Barbados Tridents18.4 overs134/10 Kensington Oval ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Trinbago Knight Riders started on 42%; Trinbago Knight Riders batted first.

Trinbago Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Barbados Tridents is the rest

Trinbago Knight Riders's chances ranged from 29% to 100% during the match (Barbados Tridents: 1% to 71%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 13.1: S Ramnath to SW Bates, SW Bates out. Trinbago Knight Riders up from 41% to 59%.
2nd inns 13.5: S Ramnath to KP Navgire, KP Navgire out. Trinbago Knight Riders up from 57% to 77%.
2nd inns 14.3: DJS Dottin to P Vastrakar, P Vastrakar out. Trinbago Knight Riders up from 77% to 91%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Trinbago Knight Riders155/10 Barbados Tridents134/10

Innings 1