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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
18 Jul 2025 · T20
St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury · Venue photographRecorded result
Essex started on 45%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 0% to 74% during the match (Kent: 26% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael-Kyle Peppercaught · Fred Klaassen · Matt Parkinson 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Fred Klaassen · b Matt Parkinson | 28 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 133.33 |
| Paul Waltercaught · Harry Finch · Joe Denly 7 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Harry Finch · b Joe Denly | 52 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 140.54 |
| Jordan Coxbowled · Joey Evison 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Joey Evison | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 54.55 |
| CWJ Allisoncaught · Jack Leaning · Grant Stewart 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jack Leaning · b Grant Stewart | 48 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 145.45 |
 Matthew Critchleycaught · Grant Stewart · Nathan Gilchrist0 fours · 1 sixes | caught |
| 12 |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 120.00 |
| Luc Benkensteincaught · Matt Parkinson · Nathan Gilchrist 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Matt Parkinson · b Nathan Gilchrist | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 300.00 |
|---|
 Simon Harmernot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| NRM Thainnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Grant Stewart0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 1 | 2 |
| Fred Klaassen0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Joe Denly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Gilchrist0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 17.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Parkinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Joey Evison0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 2 | 0 |
1-68 (Michael-Kyle Pepper, 6.5) · 2-81 (Jordan Cox, 9.1) · 3-111 (Paul Walter, 14.4) · 4-142 (Matthew Critchley, 17.4) · 5-148 (Luc Benkenstein, 18.0) · 6-165 (CWJ Allison, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 18 | 28/0 |
| 4 | 16 | 44/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 53/0 |
| 6 | 12 | 65/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 69/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 74/1 |
| 9 | 7 | 81/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 88/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 94/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 101/2 |
| 13 | 5 | 106/2 |
| 14 | 3 | 109/2 |
| 15 | 7 | 116/3 |
| 16 | 9 | 125/3 |
| 17 | 4 | 129/3 |
| 18 | 19 | 148/5 |
| 19 | 16 | 164/5 |
| 20 | 8 | 172/6 |
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mohammad Amir: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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