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Hong Kong Women's T20I Tri-Series · 2026 · Women
7 May 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Hong Kong more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 88%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 87% to 100% during the match (Malaysia: 0% to 13%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Milescaught · Aisya Eleesa · Mahirah Ismail 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aisya Eleesa · b Mahirah Ismail | 40 | 47 | 3 | 0 | 85.11 |
| Shanzeen Shahzadlbw · Nur Dania Syuhada 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nur Dania Syuhada | 16 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Y Daswanicaught · Winifred Duraisingam · Mahirah Ismail 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Winifred Duraisingam · b Mahirah Ismail | 34 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 113.33 |
| Kary Channot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 18* | 10 | 1 | 1 | 180.00 |
| MBA Lamploughcaught · Nur Arianna Natsya · Mas Elysa 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nur Arianna Natsya · b Mas Elysa | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| not out |
| 16* |
| 10 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 160.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 8 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aisya Eleesa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Nur Qalysha0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Nur Dania Syuhada0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Mahirah Ismail0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Nurin Imanina0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Nur Arianna Natsya0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 16.00 | 0 | 2 |
| Mas Elysa0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-43 (Shanzeen Shahzad, 7.3) · 2-101 (Natasha Miles, 16.2) · 3-104 (Y Daswani, 17.0) · 4-105 (MBA Lamplough, 17.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 16/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 24/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 28/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 36/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 40/0 |
| 8 | 3 | 43/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 49/1 |
| 10 | 4 | 53/1 |
| 11 | 8 | 61/1 |
| 12 | 8 | 69/1 |
| 13 | 16 | 85/1 |
| 14 | 4 | 89/1 |
| 15 | 8 | 97/1 |
| 16 | 4 | 101/1 |
| 17 | 3 | 104/3 |
| 18 | 5 | 109/4 |
| 19 | 12 | 121/4 |
| 20 | 15 | 136/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.