OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024/25 · Men
9 Nov 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 61%; Netherlands batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikramjit Singhbowled · D Parashar 4 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b D Parashar | 66 | 87 | 4 | 2 | 75.86 |
| Max O'Dowdcaught · Rahul Chopra · Junaid Siddique 7 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Rahul Chopra · b Junaid Siddique | 69 | 95 | 7 | 2 | 72.63 |
| Scott Edwardsrun out · D Parashar · Junaid Siddique 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · D Parashar | 18 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 58.06 |
 Colin Ackermannbowled · Junaid Siddique1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Junaid Siddique | 21 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 84.00 |
 Bas de Leede |
Netherlands's chances ranged from 60% to 100% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 0% to 40%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| bowled · b Ali Naseer |
| 18 |
| 31 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 58.06 |
| Noah Croescaught · Vishnu Sukumaran · Junaid Siddique 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Vishnu Sukumaran · b Junaid Siddique | 24 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Shariz Ahmadbowled · Ali Naseer 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ali Naseer | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Timm van der Gugtenrun out · Vriitya Aravind, Rahul Chopra · Ali Naseer0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Vriitya Aravind, Rahul Chopra | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Roelof van der Merwenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 10 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D Parashar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 3.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Junaid Siddique2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 31 | 3 | 3.10 | 1 | 0 |
| Ali Naseer0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 49 | 2 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Aayan Afzal Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 5.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Basil Hameed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Rahul Bhatia0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 4.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Vishnu Sukumaran0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 3.80 | 0 | 0 |
1-140 (Max O'Dowd, 30.1) · 2-140 (Vikramjit Singh, 31.1) · 3-180 (Colin Ackermann, 38.5) · 4-183 (Scott Edwards, 40.3) · 5-228 (Bas de Leede, 47.4) · 6-228 (Shariz Ahmad, 47.5) · 7-232 (Noah Croes, 48.5) · 8-241 (Timm van der Gugten, 50.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 9/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 10/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 14/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 22/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 26/0 |
| 8 | 1 | 27/0 |
| 9 | 3 | 30/0 |
| 10 | 4 | 34/0 |
| 11 | 6 | 40/0 |
| 12 | 14 | 54/0 |
| 13 | 6 | 60/0 |
| 14 | 5 | 65/0 |
| 15 | 3 | 68/0 |
| 16 | 6 | 74/0 |
| 17 | 2 | 76/0 |
| 18 | 8 | 84/0 |
| 19 | 6 | 90/0 |
| 20 | 1 | 91/0 |
| 21 | 3 | 94/0 |
| 22 | 3 | 97/0 |
| 23 | 3 | 100/0 |
| 24 | 3 | 103/0 |
| 25 | 4 | 107/0 |
| 26 | 4 | 111/0 |
| 27 | 8 | 119/0 |
| 28 | 9 | 128/0 |
| 29 | 8 | 136/0 |
| 30 | 4 | 140/0 |
| 31 | 0 | 140/1 |
| 32 | 2 | 142/2 |
| 33 | 3 | 145/2 |
| 34 | 4 | 149/2 |
| 35 | 9 | 158/2 |
| 36 | 5 | 163/2 |
| 37 | 8 | 171/2 |
| 38 | 5 | 176/2 |
| 39 | 4 | 180/3 |
| 40 | 3 | 183/3 |
| 41 | 0 | 183/4 |
| 42 | 2 | 185/4 |
| 43 | 7 | 192/4 |
| 44 | 8 | 200/4 |
| 45 | 8 | 208/4 |
| 46 | 8 | 216/4 |
| 47 | 4 | 220/4 |
| 48 | 8 | 228/6 |
| 49 | 5 | 233/7 |
| 50 | 8 | 241/8 |
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
