Quetta GladiatorsversusKarachi Kings

6 Mar 2024 · T20

Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Karachi Kings won by 7 wickets

Quetta Gladiators19.1 overs118/10 Karachi Kings15.3 overs121/3 Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Quetta Gladiators started on 54%; Quetta Gladiators batted first.

Quetta Gladiators’s chance of winning (%) · Karachi Kings is the rest

Quetta Gladiators's chances ranged from 0% to 64% during the match (Karachi Kings: 36% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2.1: B Muzarabani to JJ Roy, JJ Roy out. Karachi Kings up from 37% to 49%.
8.1: Hasan Ali to Saud Shakeel, Saud Shakeel out. Karachi Kings up from 41% to 49%.
8.4: Hasan Ali to Khawaja Nafay, Khawaja Nafay out. Karachi Kings up from 51% to 60%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Quetta Gladiators118/10 Karachi Kings121/3

Innings 1