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Photo: AssociateAffiliate
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
15 Jul 2026 · T20
The Rose Bowl, Southampton · Venue photographRecorded result
Hampshire started on 59%; Hampshire batted first.
Hampshire's chances ranged from 52% to 100% during the match (Essex: 0% to 48%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toby Albertcaught · NRM Thain · Simon Harmer 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · NRM Thain · b Simon Harmer | 22 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 88.00 |
14 fours · 7 sixes | caught · NRM Thain · b Shane Snater | 125 | 61 | 14 | 7 | 204.92 |
| Joe Weatherleycaught · Simon Harmer · Sam Cook 3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Simon Harmer · b Sam Cook | 46 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 176.92 |
| Hilton Cartwrightnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 14* | 8 | 1 | 0 | 175.00 |
| BA Mayesnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| — |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 51 | 1 | 12.75 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 3 | 0 | |
| CE Bennett0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 16.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 11.67 | 0 | 0 | |
| Luc Benkenstein0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Paul Walter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-60 (Toby Albert, 8.1) · 2-177 (Joe Weatherley, 17.4) · 3-199 (James Vince, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 24/0 |
| 5 | 17 | 41/0 |
| 6 | 10 | 51/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 55/0 |
| 8 | 5 | 60/0 |
| 9 | 2 | 62/1 |
| 10 | 15 | 77/1 |
| 11 | 6 | 83/1 |
| 12 | 7 | 90/1 |
| 13 | 13 | 103/1 |
| 14 | 12 | 115/1 |
| 15 | 19 | 134/1 |
| 16 | 15 | 149/1 |
| 17 | 22 | 171/1 |
| 18 | 8 | 179/2 |
| 19 | 20 | 199/3 |
| 20 | 12 | 211/3 |
James Vince: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Cook: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.