Comilla VictoriansversusSylhet Strikers

26 Jan 2024 · T20

Sylhet International Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Comilla Victorians won by 52 runs

Comilla Victorians20.0 overs130/8 Sylhet Strikers16.2 overs78/10 Sylhet International Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Comilla Victorians started on 55%; Comilla Victorians batted first.

Comilla Victorians’s chance of winning (%) · Sylhet Strikers is the rest

Comilla Victorians's chances ranged from 27% to 100% during the match (Sylhet Strikers: 0% to 74%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 2.5: MW Forde to SR Patel, SR Patel out. Comilla Victorians up from 47% to 62%.
2nd inns 5.5: Al Islam to Yasir Ali Chowdhury, Yasir Ali Chowdhury out. Comilla Victorians up from 57% to 78%.
2nd inns 7.3: Al Islam to BCJ Cutting, BCJ Cutting out. Comilla Victorians up from 79% to 94%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Comilla Victorians130/8 Sylhet Strikers78/10

Innings 1