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Photo: Mnnngchris at English Wikipedia
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Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
16 Jun 2024 · T20
The County Ground, Derby · Venue photographRecorded result
Derbyshire started on 45%; Derbyshire batted first.
Derbyshire's chances ranged from 0% to 49% during the match (Birmingham Bears: 51% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Lloydcaught · Chris Benjamin · Danny Briggs 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Chris Benjamin · b Danny Briggs | 50 | 38 | 2 | 2 | 131.58 |
 Aneurin Donaldcaught · Chris Woakes · George Garton0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Woakes · b George Garton | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
 Cam Fletchercaught · Dan Mousley · Richard Gleeson1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Dan Mousley · b Richard Gleeson | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 118.18 |
 Wayne Madsencaught · Alex Davies · Richard Gleeson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Davies |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
 Brooke Guestnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 38* | 42 | 1 | 0 | 90.48 |
|---|
 Samit Patelcaught · Chris Woakes · Danny Briggs0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Woakes · b Danny Briggs | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
 Ross Whiteleybowled · Chris Woakes0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Chris Woakes | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 110.00 |
|---|
 Zak Chappellrun out · George Garton · Richard Gleeson1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · George Garton | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
 Mitch Wagstaffnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chris Woakes0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| George Garton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Richard Gleeson0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Jacob Lintott0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Danny Briggs0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Dan Mousley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Bethell0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-10 (Aneurin Donald, 2.0) · 2-40 (Cam Fletcher, 5.2) · 3-40 (Wayne Madsen, 5.4) · 4-93 (David Lloyd, 13.3) · 5-100 (Samit Patel, 15.2) · 6-120 (Ross Whiteley, 18.3) · 7-128 (Zak Chappell, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 19/1 |
| 4 | 14 | 33/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 39/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 43/3 |
| 7 | 9 | 52/3 |
| 8 | 6 | 58/3 |
| 9 | 2 | 60/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 65/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 70/3 |
| 12 | 12 | 82/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 87/3 |
| 14 | 8 | 95/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 99/4 |
| 16 | 4 | 103/5 |
| 17 | 4 | 107/5 |
| 18 | 6 | 113/5 |
| 19 | 13 | 126/6 |
| 20 | 7 | 133/7 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Richard Gleeson: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Brooke Guest: Dave Morton · Public domain
Cam Fletcher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Samit Patel: Oliver Brown · CC BY-SA 3.0
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Mitch Wagstaff: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Chappell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
