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West Indies Women tour of Zimbabwe · 2026 · Women
3 Oct 2026 · T20
Recorded result
West Indies more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Zimbabwe started on 21%; Zimbabwe batted first.
Zimbabwe's chances ranged from 0% to 25% during the match (West Indies: 76% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modester Mupachikwabowled · Afy Fletcher 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Afy Fletcher | 20 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 60.61 |
| Sharne Mayerscaught · Afy Fletcher · Chinelle Henry 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Afy Fletcher · b Chinelle Henry | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Kelis Ndhlovulbw · Karishma Ramharack 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Karishma Ramharack | 11 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 91.67 |
| Chipo Mugericaught · Afy Fletcher · Karishma Ramharack 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Afy Fletcher · b Karishma Ramharack | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| B Bizacaught · Afy Fletcher · Karishma Ramharack 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Afy Fletcher · b Karishma Ramharack | 21 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 87.50 |
| Josephine Nkomocaught · Afy Fletcher · Jahzara Claxton 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Afy Fletcher · b Jahzara Claxton |
| 8 |
| 11 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 72.73 |
| Nyasha Gwanzuracaught · Karishma Ramharack · Afy Fletcher 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Karishma Ramharack · b Afy Fletcher | 10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 90.91 |
|---|
| M Mavungarun out · Jannillea Glasgow, Mandy Mangru · Shawnisha Hector 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Jannillea Glasgow, Mandy Mangru | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 114.29 |
|---|
| Francisca Chiparecaught · Karishma Ramharack · Jahzara Claxton 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Karishma Ramharack · b Jahzara Claxton | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| K Chigoranot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 8 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chinelle Henry0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Shawnisha Hector0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 2 | 1 |
 Karishma Ramharack0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Afy Fletcher0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Stafanie Taylor0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 6.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Jahzara Claxton0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 5.33 | 2 | 0 |
1-13 (Sharne Mayers, 3.0) · 2-29 (Kelis Ndhlovu, 7.1) · 3-37 (Chipo Mugeri, 9.3) · 4-41 (Modester Mupachikwa, 10.3) · 5-65 (Josephine Nkomo, 14.3) · 6-77 (Nyasha Gwanzura, 16.5) · 7-87 (B Biza, 17.5) · 8-91 (Francisca Chipare, 18.4) · 9-97 (M Mavunga, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 13/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 19/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 22/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 27/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 29/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 31/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 36/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 40/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 44/4 |
| 12 | 5 | 49/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 55/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 62/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 67/5 |
| 16 | 6 | 73/5 |
| 17 | 8 | 81/6 |
| 18 | 6 | 87/7 |
| 19 | 5 | 92/8 |
| 20 | 5 | 97/9 |
Stafanie Taylor: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Karishma Ramharack: SportsMax TV · CC BY 3.0
Chinelle Henry: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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