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Photo: Ranadipam Basu
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Australia tour of Bangladesh · 2026 · Men
11 Jun 2026 · ODI
Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Shortbowled · Taskin Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Taskin Ahmed | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Cooper Connollycaught · Litton Das · Mustafizur Rahman 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Litton Das · b Mustafizur Rahman | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Josh Ingliscaught · Tanzid Hasan · Tanvir Islam4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tanzid Hasan · b Tanvir Islam | 34 | 38 | 4 | 1 | 89.47 |
 Matt Renshawcaught · Litton Das · Mustafizur Rahman0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Litton Das · b Mustafizur Rahman | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| caught · Najmul Hossain Shanto · b Mustafizur Rahman |
| 13 |
| 17 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 76.47 |
 Cameron Greencaught and bowled · Tanvir Islam1 fours · 2 sixes | caught and bowled · b Tanvir Islam | 25 | 50 | 1 | 2 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Marnus Labuschagnenot out3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 55* | 85 | 3 | 0 | 64.71 |
|---|
| Xavier Bartlettbowled · Taskin Ahmed 4 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Taskin Ahmed | 52 | 48 | 4 | 2 | 108.33 |
|---|
 Adam Zampabowled · Taskin Ahmed0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Taskin Ahmed | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Nathan Ellisnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Taskin Ahmed1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 33 | 3 | 4.13 | 0 | 1 |
 Mustafizur Rahman2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 2 | 27 | 3 | 3.86 | 1 | 0 |
 Nahid Rana0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 5.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Tanvir Islam0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 45 | 2 | 4.50 | 0 | 1 |
 Mehedi Hasan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Mosaddek Hossain Saikat0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Matthew Short, 0.4) · 2-0 (Cooper Connolly, 1.1) · 3-0 (Matt Renshaw, 2.0) · 4-25 (Alex Carey, 7.3) · 5-68 (Josh Inglis, 17.1) · 6-81 (Cameron Green, 21.1) · 7-184 (Xavier Bartlett, 40.2) · 8-184 (Adam Zampa, 40.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 0 | 0/3 |
| 3 | 3 | 3/3 |
| 4 | 6 | 9/3 |
| 5 | 8 | 17/3 |
| 6 | 3 | 20/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 25/3 |
| 8 | 0 | 25/4 |
| 9 | 10 | 35/4 |
| 10 | 2 | 37/4 |
| 11 | 9 | 46/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 50/4 |
| 13 | 1 | 51/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 55/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 60/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 66/4 |
| 17 | 2 | 68/4 |
| 18 | 7 | 75/5 |
| 19 | 1 | 76/5 |
| 20 | 3 | 79/5 |
| 21 | 2 | 81/5 |
| 22 | 4 | 85/6 |
| 23 | 11 | 96/6 |
| 24 | 5 | 101/6 |
| 25 | 3 | 104/6 |
| 26 | 4 | 108/6 |
| 27 | 3 | 111/6 |
| 28 | 4 | 115/6 |
| 29 | 4 | 119/6 |
| 30 | 8 | 127/6 |
| 31 | 9 | 136/6 |
| 32 | 8 | 144/6 |
| 33 | 8 | 152/6 |
| 34 | 5 | 157/6 |
| 35 | 9 | 166/6 |
| 36 | 3 | 169/6 |
| 37 | 1 | 170/6 |
| 38 | 3 | 173/6 |
| 39 | 6 | 179/6 |
| 40 | 5 | 184/6 |
| 41 | 2 | 186/8 |
| 42 | 1 | 187/8 |
Tawhid Hridoy: Niriho khoka · CC BY 4.0
Nahid Rana: Press Information Department · Public domain
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taskin Ahmed: Mahbub Ali Zaki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Soumya Sarkar: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mustafizur Rahman: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mosaddek Hossain Saikat: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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