Rajasthan RoyalsversusSunrisers Hyderabad

25 Apr 2026 · T20

Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sunrisers Hyderabad won by 5 wickets

Rajasthan Royals20.0 overs228/6 Sunrisers Hyderabad18.3 overs229/5 Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Rajasthan Royals started on 49%; Rajasthan Royals batted first.

Rajasthan Royals’s chance of winning (%) · Sunrisers Hyderabad is the rest

Rajasthan Royals's chances ranged from 0% to 92% during the match (Sunrisers Hyderabad: 8% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2.2: E Malinga to YBK Jaiswal, YBK Jaiswal out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 24% to 34%.
2nd inns 0.5: JC Archer to TM Head, TM Head out. Rajasthan Royals up from 81% to 88%.
2nd inns 9.6: D Ferreira to Abhishek Sharma, Abhishek Sharma out. Rajasthan Royals up from 18% to 26%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Rajasthan Royals228/6 Sunrisers Hyderabad229/5

Innings 1