OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: Krish Dulal
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Canada tour of Nepal · 2023/24 · Men
8 Feb 2024 · ODI
Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur · Venue photographRecorded result
Nepal more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Nepal started on 72%; Nepal batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kushal Bhurtelstumped · Shreyas Movva · Saad Bin Zafar9 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Shreyas Movva · b Saad Bin Zafar | 62 | 58 | 9 | 1 | 106.90 |
| Aasif Sheikhcaught · Navneet Dhaliwal · Uday Bhagwan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Navneet Dhaliwal · b Uday Bhagwan | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Rohit Kumarcaught · Harsh Thaker · IS Sohi1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harsh Thaker · b IS Sohi | 8 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 47.06 |
| B Sharkilbw · Saad Bin Zafar 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Saad Bin Zafar | 17 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 65.38 |
 |
Nepal's chances ranged from 3% to 85% during the match (Canada: 15% to 97%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Nicholas Kirton · b Harsh Thaker |
| 20 |
| 32 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 62.50 |
 Aarif Sheikhbowled · Uday Bhagwan4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Uday Bhagwan | 38 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 76.00 |
|---|
| Pawan Sarraflbw · Shahid Ahmadzai 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Shahid Ahmadzai | 15 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 44.12 |
|---|
 Sompal Kamicaught · Pargat Singh · Uday Bhagwan1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Pargat Singh · b Uday Bhagwan | 27 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 117.39 |
|---|
| Surya Tamangnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 32 | 0 | 0 | 31.25 |
|---|
| R Dhakalcaught · Shahid Ahmadzai · IS Sohi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shahid Ahmadzai · b IS Sohi | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Lalit Rajbanshirun out · Nicholas Kirton, Shreyas Movva · IS Sohi 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Nicholas Kirton, Shreyas Movva | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 10 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Heyliger0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 66 | 0 | 6.60 | 4 | 0 |
 Saad Bin Zafar0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 44 | 2 | 4.40 | 3 | 0 |
| Uday Bhagwan1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 40 | 3 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| IS Sohi0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 3.75 | 0 | 1 |
| Shahid Ahmadzai2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 2 | 26 | 1 | 3.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Harsh Thaker0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-48 (Aasif Sheikh, 9.1) · 2-71 (Rohit Kumar, 14.3) · 3-98 (Kushal Bhurtel, 18.3) · 4-108 (B Sharki, 22.3) · 5-141 (Kushal Malla, 29.3) · 6-173 (Aarif Sheikh, 38.5) · 7-181 (Pawan Sarraf, 41.1) · 8-218 (Sompal Kami, 48.5) · 9-223 (R Dhakal, 49.5) · 10-224 (Lalit Rajbanshi, 50.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 22/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 24/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 31/0 |
| 7 | 11 | 42/0 |
| 8 | 0 | 42/0 |
| 9 | 6 | 48/0 |
| 10 | 5 | 53/1 |
| 11 | 1 | 54/1 |
| 12 | 6 | 60/1 |
| 13 | 5 | 65/1 |
| 14 | 6 | 71/1 |
| 15 | 2 | 73/2 |
| 16 | 7 | 80/2 |
| 17 | 8 | 88/2 |
| 18 | 8 | 96/2 |
| 19 | 4 | 100/3 |
| 20 | 4 | 104/3 |
| 21 | 2 | 106/3 |
| 22 | 1 | 107/3 |
| 23 | 4 | 111/4 |
| 24 | 1 | 112/4 |
| 25 | 12 | 124/4 |
| 26 | 4 | 128/4 |
| 27 | 2 | 130/4 |
| 28 | 2 | 132/4 |
| 29 | 8 | 140/4 |
| 30 | 3 | 143/5 |
| 31 | 1 | 144/5 |
| 32 | 3 | 147/5 |
| 33 | 2 | 149/5 |
| 34 | 5 | 154/5 |
| 35 | 5 | 159/5 |
| 36 | 0 | 159/5 |
| 37 | 4 | 163/5 |
| 38 | 2 | 165/5 |
| 39 | 9 | 174/6 |
| 40 | 1 | 175/6 |
| 41 | 6 | 181/6 |
| 42 | 0 | 181/7 |
| 43 | 2 | 183/7 |
| 44 | 2 | 185/7 |
| 45 | 11 | 196/7 |
| 46 | 6 | 202/7 |
| 47 | 10 | 212/7 |
| 48 | 2 | 214/7 |
| 49 | 5 | 219/8 |
| 50 | 5 | 224/10 |
Sompal Kami: सरोज कुमार ढकाल · CC BY-SA 3.0
Rohit Kumar: Cricnepal · CC BY-SA 4.0
Saad Bin Zafar: Apnagm · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kushal Bhurtel: Kushal Bhurtel · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aarif Sheikh: Nepalese Diaspora · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kushal Malla: Hamro Khelkud · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
