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Photo: Mtaylor848
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
24 May 2026 · T20
Headingley · Venue photographRecorded result
Derbyshire started on 44%; Derbyshire batted first.
Derbyshire's chances ranged from 2% to 99% during the match (Yorkshire: 1% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aneurin Donaldcaught · Andrew Tye · Hasan Ali2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Andrew Tye · b Hasan Ali | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 200.00 |
| Martin Anderssonnot out 7 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 81* | 56 | 7 | 1 | 144.64 |
| Caleb Jewellcaught · Matt Revis · Andrew Tye 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Matt Revis · b Andrew Tye | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 125.00 |
 Wayne Madsencaught · Hasan Ali · Matt Revis0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hasan Ali · b Matt Revis | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Matthew Montgomery |
| bowled · b JA Chohan |
| 35 |
| 23 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 152.17 |
 Ross Whiteleynot out4 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 39* | 17 | 4 | 2 | 229.41 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 George Hill0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Hasan Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Moeen Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Andrew Tye0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 51 | 1 | 12.75 | 2 | 1 |
 Matt Revis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 0 | 0 |
| JA Chohan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-19 (Aneurin Donald, 2.0) · 2-59 (Caleb Jewell, 6.2) · 3-63 (Wayne Madsen, 7.1) · 4-136 (Matthew Montgomery, 15.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 19/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 26/1 |
| 4 | 13 | 39/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 47/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 57/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 63/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 69/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 75/3 |
| 10 | 12 | 87/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 95/3 |
| 12 | 8 | 103/3 |
| 13 | 10 | 113/3 |
| 14 | 11 | 124/3 |
| 15 | 7 | 131/3 |
| 16 | 8 | 139/4 |
| 17 | 9 | 148/4 |
| 18 | 14 | 162/4 |
| 19 | 8 | 170/4 |
| 20 | 24 | 194/4 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Andrew Tye: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Ben Aitchison: Dave Morton · Public domain
George Hill: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Revis: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Jack Morley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Lyth: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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