Trinbago Knight RidersversusBarbados Royals

27 Sept 2024 · T20

Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, Trinidad · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Trinbago Knight Riders won by 30 runs

Trinbago Knight Riders20.0 overs175/7 Barbados Royals20.0 overs145/9 Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, Trinidad ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Trinbago Knight Riders started on 52%; Trinbago Knight Riders batted first.

Trinbago Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Barbados Royals is the rest

Trinbago Knight Riders's chances ranged from 33% to 100% during the match (Barbados Royals: 0% to 67%).

Biggest swings

0.3: M Theekshana to JJ Roy, JJ Roy out. Barbados Royals up from 49% to 62%.
3.6: Naveen-ul-Haq to N Pooran, N Pooran out. Barbados Royals up from 41% to 52%.
4.5: JO Holder to SD Parris, SD Parris out. Barbados Royals up from 53% to 64%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Trinbago Knight Riders175/7 Barbados Royals145/9

Innings 1