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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
12 Jul 2026 · T20
St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury · Venue photographRecorded result
Middlesex started on 40%; Middlesex batted first.
Middlesex's chances ranged from 22% to 99% during the match (Kent: 1% to 78%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh de Caireslbw · Hasan Mahmud 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Hasan Mahmud | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 62.50 |
| Matt Boylebowled · Jacob Lintott 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jacob Lintott | 21 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 123.53 |
| Max Holdencaught and bowled · Jacob Lintott 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Jacob Lintott | 24 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Leus du Plooycaught · Sam Billings · Ekansh Singh2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Billings · b Ekansh Singh | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 200.00 |
| Ben Geddeslbw · Hasan Mahmud 0 fours · 3 sixes | lbw · b Hasan Mahmud | 32 | 21 |
| 0 |
| 3 |
| 152.38 |
| Joe Cracknellcaught · Daniel Bell-Drummond · JK Denly 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daniel Bell-Drummond · b JK Denly | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 110.00 |
|---|
 Luke Hollmannot out3 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 34* | 22 | 3 | 1 | 154.55 |
|---|
| Eathan Boschnot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 23* | 15 | 2 | 1 | 153.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Rogers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Hasan Mahmud0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 0 | 1 |
 Grant Stewart0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 14.00 | 3 | 1 |
| Ekansh Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Lintott0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 2 | 0 |
| JK Denly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Josh de Caires, 1.5) · 2-54 (Matt Boyle, 6.4) · 3-67 (Leus du Plooy, 7.5) · 4-79 (Max Holden, 9.5) · 5-102 (Joe Cracknell, 12.4) · 6-120 (Ben Geddes, 15.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 14/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 23/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 29/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 37/1 |
| 6 | 11 | 48/1 |
| 7 | 11 | 59/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 68/3 |
| 9 | 9 | 77/3 |
| 10 | 3 | 80/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 84/4 |
| 12 | 11 | 95/4 |
| 13 | 8 | 103/5 |
| 14 | 10 | 113/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 119/5 |
| 16 | 8 | 127/6 |
| 17 | 4 | 131/6 |
| 18 | 20 | 151/6 |
| 19 | 9 | 160/6 |
| 20 | 12 | 172/6 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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