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South American Men's Championships · 2026 · Men
9 Aug 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Panama more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Brazil started on 37%; Brazil batted first.
Brazil's chances ranged from 7% to 90% during the match (Panama: 10% to 93%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W Maximobowled · MY Bawa 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b MY Bawa | 35 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 116.67 |
| LH Rodriguesbowled · MY Bawa 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b MY Bawa | 8 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 36.36 |
| CC Machadobowled · Lalu Bhai Ahir 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Lalu Bhai Ahir | 10 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
| MFI Assuncaorun out · SP Guzman · Lalu Bhai Ahir 3 fours · 0 sixes | run out · SP Guzman | 30 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 103.45 |
| Yasar Haroonrun out · SP Guzman · Sufiyan Tarajia 3 fours · 0 sixes | run out · SP Guzman | 15 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 166.67 |
| L Maximobowled · Lalu Bhai Ahir0 fours · 0 sixes |
| bowled · b Lalu Bhai Ahir |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Rejaul Karimnot out 0 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 18* | 10 | 0 | 2 | 180.00 |
|---|
| LA Goncalvescaught · Yusuf Bhoola · Sufiyan Tarajia 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Yusuf Bhoola · b Sufiyan Tarajia | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lalu Bhai Ahir0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Sufiyan Tarajia0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| MY Bawa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Irfan Hafejee0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Sarkar Ameji0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-46 (W Maximo, 8.2) · 2-47 (LH Rodrigues, 8.5) · 3-90 (CC Machado, 16.1) · 4-91 (MFI Assuncao, 16.2) · 5-93 (L Maximo, 16.4) · 6-124 (Yasar Haroon, 19.1) · 7-128 (LA Goncalves, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 14/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 23/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 28/0 |
| 6 | 10 | 38/0 |
| 7 | 2 | 40/0 |
| 8 | 5 | 45/0 |
| 9 | 2 | 47/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 51/2 |
| 11 | 1 | 52/2 |
| 12 | 5 | 57/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 64/2 |
| 14 | 8 | 72/2 |
| 15 | 6 | 78/2 |
| 16 | 11 | 89/2 |
| 17 | 10 | 99/5 |
| 18 | 14 | 113/5 |
| 19 | 11 | 124/5 |
| 20 | 4 | 128/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.