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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
22 May 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Essex started on 47%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 0% to 81% during the match (Sussex: 19% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Waltercaught · Henry Crocombe 6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · b Henry Crocombe | 58 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 156.76 |
| Michael-Kyle Pepperbowled · Danny Lamb 5 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Danny Lamb | 52 | 34 | 5 | 3 | 152.94 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Leaning · b Danny Briggs | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Luc Benkensteinbowled · James Coles 1 fours · 4 sixes | bowled · b James Coles | 36 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 200.00 |
| caught · Tom Alsop · b James Coles |
| 2 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| NRM Thainnot out 4 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 23* | 15 | 4 | 0 | 153.33 |
|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 7 | 1 | 0 | 142.86 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Currie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 12.67 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 | |
| Danny Briggs0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| James Coles0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 10.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Danny Lamb0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 1 | 0 |
1-105 (Michael-Kyle Pepper, 10.2) · 2-116 (Matthew Critchley, 11.5) · 3-122 (Paul Walter, 13.0) · 4-134 (Wiaan Mulder, 15.0) · 5-161 (Luc Benkenstein, 16.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 24/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 31/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 40/0 |
| 6 | 13 | 53/0 |
| 7 | 10 | 63/0 |
| 8 | 14 | 77/0 |
| 9 | 6 | 83/0 |
| 10 | 21 | 104/0 |
| 11 | 8 | 112/1 |
| 12 | 5 | 117/2 |
| 13 | 5 | 122/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 131/3 |
| 15 | 3 | 134/4 |
| 16 | 16 | 150/4 |
| 17 | 15 | 165/5 |
| 18 | 6 | 171/5 |
| 19 | 11 | 182/5 |
| 20 | 9 | 191/5 |
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zaman Akhter: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Henry Crocombe: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.