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South Africa tour of Zimbabwe · 2025 · Men
6 Jul 2025 · Test
Recorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony de Zorzicaught · Nick Welch · Tanaka Chivanga 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nick Welch · b Tanaka Chivanga | 10 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Lesego Senokwanelbw · Wellington Masakadza 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Wellington Masakadza | 3 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 8.33 |
 Wiaan Muldernot out49 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 367* | 334 | 49 | 4 | 109.88 |
| David Bedinghamlbw · Tanaka Chivanga 7 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Tanaka Chivanga | 82 | 101 | 7 | 0 | 81.19 |
| LG Pretoriuscaught · Wellington Masakadza · Kundai Matigimu7 fours · 3 sixes |
| caught · Wellington Masakadza · b Kundai Matigimu |
| 78 |
| 87 |
| 7 |
| 3 |
| 89.66 |
| Dewald Breviscaught · C Madande · Kundai Matigimu 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · C Madande · b Kundai Matigimu | 30 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
| Kyle Verreynnenot out 5 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 42* | 62 | 5 | 1 | 67.74 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 12 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blessing Muzarabani4 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 26.0 | 4 | 133 | 0 | 5.12 | 1 | 0 |
| Tanaka Chivanga3 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 24.0 | 3 | 112 | 2 | 4.67 | 0 | 1 |
| Kundai Matigimu1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 21.3 | 1 | 124 | 2 | 5.77 | 0 | 0 |
| Wellington Masakadza2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 33.0 | 2 | 184 | 1 | 5.58 | 0 | 0 |
| Dion Myers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.3 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 5.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Wesley Madhevere0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 6.71 | 0 | 0 |
1-11 (Tony de Zorzi, 9.1) · 2-24 (Lesego Senokwane, 13.5) · 3-208 (David Bedingham, 50.2) · 4-425 (LG Pretorius, 81.1) · 5-513 (Dewald Brevis, 96.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 5/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 7/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 7/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 11/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 11/0 |
| 8 | 0 | 11/0 |
| 9 | 0 | 11/0 |
| 10 | 0 | 11/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 13/1 |
| 12 | 7 | 20/1 |
| 13 | 3 | 23/1 |
| 14 | 2 | 25/2 |
| 15 | 7 | 32/2 |
| 16 | 12 | 44/2 |
| 17 | 7 | 51/2 |
| 18 | 10 | 61/2 |
| 19 | 7 | 68/2 |
| 20 | 11 | 79/2 |
| 21 | 4 | 83/2 |
| 22 | 0 | 83/2 |
| 23 | 4 | 87/2 |
| 24 | 9 | 96/2 |
| 25 | 2 | 98/2 |
| 26 | 4 | 102/2 |
| 27 | 8 | 110/2 |
| 28 | 3 | 113/2 |
| 29 | 1 | 114/2 |
| 30 | 2 | 116/2 |
| 31 | 5 | 121/2 |
| 32 | 4 | 125/2 |
| 33 | 3 | 128/2 |
| 34 | 6 | 134/2 |
| 35 | 7 | 141/2 |
| 36 | 4 | 145/2 |
| 37 | 4 | 149/2 |
| 38 | 8 | 157/2 |
| 39 | 9 | 166/2 |
| 40 | 4 | 170/2 |
| 41 | 3 | 173/2 |
| 42 | 5 | 178/2 |
| 43 | 8 | 186/2 |
| 44 | 2 | 188/2 |
| 45 | 8 | 196/2 |
| 46 | 3 | 199/2 |
| 47 | 6 | 205/2 |
| 48 | 0 | 205/2 |
| 49 | 1 | 206/2 |
| 50 | 2 | 208/2 |
| 51 | 0 | 208/3 |
| 52 | 1 | 209/3 |
| 53 | 9 | 218/3 |
| 54 | 15 | 233/3 |
| 55 | 7 | 240/3 |
| 56 | 3 | 243/3 |
| 57 | 11 | 254/3 |
| 58 | 2 | 256/3 |
| 59 | 11 | 267/3 |
| 60 | 5 | 272/3 |
| 61 | 6 | 278/3 |
| 62 | 9 | 287/3 |
| 63 | 7 | 294/3 |
| 64 | 7 | 301/3 |
| 65 | 4 | 305/3 |
| 66 | 10 | 315/3 |
| 67 | 3 | 318/3 |
| 68 | 7 | 325/3 |
| 69 | 2 | 327/3 |
| 70 | 2 | 329/3 |
| 71 | 10 | 339/3 |
| 72 | 4 | 343/3 |
| 73 | 3 | 346/3 |
| 74 | 8 | 354/3 |
| 75 | 17 | 371/3 |
| 76 | 9 | 380/3 |
| 77 | 5 | 385/3 |
| 78 | 17 | 402/3 |
| 79 | 9 | 411/3 |
| 80 | 4 | 415/3 |
| 81 | 10 | 425/3 |
| 82 | 7 | 432/4 |
| 83 | 6 | 438/4 |
| 84 | 5 | 443/4 |
| 85 | 2 | 445/4 |
| 86 | 6 | 451/4 |
| 87 | 8 | 459/4 |
| 88 | 6 | 465/4 |
| 89 | 8 | 473/4 |
| 90 | 6 | 479/4 |
| 91 | 4 | 483/4 |
| 92 | 3 | 486/4 |
| 93 | 5 | 491/4 |
| 94 | 3 | 494/4 |
| 95 | 7 | 501/4 |
| 96 | 11 | 512/4 |
| 97 | 1 | 513/5 |
| 98 | 1 | 514/5 |
| 99 | 7 | 521/5 |
| 100 | 3 | 524/5 |
| 101 | 11 | 535/5 |
| 102 | 14 | 549/5 |
| 103 | 2 | 551/5 |
| 104 | 10 | 561/5 |
| 105 | 10 | 571/5 |
| 106 | 7 | 578/5 |
| 107 | 10 | 588/5 |
| 108 | 5 | 593/5 |
| 109 | 4 | 597/5 |
| 110 | 13 | 610/5 |
| 111 | 1 | 611/5 |
| 112 | 1 | 612/5 |
| 113 | 7 | 619/5 |
| 114 | 7 | 626/5 |
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Craig Ervine: TheCricketer · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Williams: Larry D. Moore · CC BY 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
