Chattogram RoyalsversusRangpur Riders

5 Jan 2026 · T20

Sylhet International Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Rangpur Riders won by 5 wickets

Chattogram Royals20.0 overs169/5 Rangpur Riders18.5 overs170/5 Sylhet International Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Chattogram Royals started on 45%; Chattogram Royals batted first.

Chattogram Royals’s chance of winning (%) · Rangpur Riders is the rest

Chattogram Royals's chances ranged from 0% to 69% during the match (Rangpur Riders: 31% to 100%).

Biggest swings

3.4: Mustafizur Rahman to Mohammad Naim, Mohammad Naim out. Rangpur Riders up from 50% to 59%.
2nd inns 2.2: Shoriful Islam to Liton Das, Liton Das out. Chattogram Royals up from 48% to 61%.
2nd inns 16.5: Aamer Jamal to Mahmudullah, six by Mahmudullah. Rangpur Riders up from 72% to 85%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Chattogram Royals169/5 Rangpur Riders170/5

Innings 1