KuwaitversusSingapore

6 Sept 2024 · T20

Recorded result

Singapore won by 5 wickets

Kuwait20.0 overs152/9 Singapore18.5 overs156/5 YSD-UKM Cricket Oval, Bangi ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Kuwait more likely to win

83%Kuwait17%Singapore

Why

On results in T20 internationals so far, Kuwait rate stronger than Singapore (1,607 vs 1,379 on our results rating)
In the last 1 T20 internationals between these sides, Kuwait won 1 and Singapore won 0

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Kuwait started on 81%; Kuwait batted first.

Kuwait’s chance of winning (%) · Singapore is the rest

Kuwait's chances ranged from 0% to 98% during the match (Singapore: 2% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 15.4: Adnan Idrees to WA Simpson, six by WA Simpson. Singapore up from 28% to 44%.
2nd inns 16.2: Shiraz Khan to S Chandramohan, six by S Chandramohan. Singapore up from 51% to 73%.
2nd inns 17.5: Ilyas Ahmed to S Chandramohan, four by S Chandramohan. Singapore up from 66% to 81%.

Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Kuwait152/9 Singapore156/5

Innings 1

Kuwait

152/920.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Kuwait batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
Ravija Sandaruwancaught · Manpreet Singh · R Kalimuthu 3 fours · 4 sixes	caught · Manpreet Singh · b R Kalimuthu	56	36	3	4	155.56
Clinto Antocaught · Arjun Mutreja · R Kalimuthu 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Arjun Mutreja · b R Kalimuthu	1	5	0	0	20.00
Meet Bhavsarcaught · Raoul Sharma · H Bharadwaj 1 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Raoul Sharma · b H Bharadwaj	6	4	1	0	150.00
Usman Patelcaught · Anish Paraam · H Bharadwaj 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Anish Paraam · b H Bharadwaj	0	1	0	0	0.00
Mohomad Aslamcaught · Arjun Mutreja · R Kalimuthu 3 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Arjun Mutreja · b R Kalimuthu	45	42	3	0	107.14

Bowler	Overs	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD
Anish Paraam0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	39	0	9.75	0
R Kalimuthu0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	21	5	5.25	2
H Bharadwaj0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	16	2	4.00	0
Aryaveer Chaudhary0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	46	1	11.50	2
Akshay Puri0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	30	1	7.50	2

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	6	6/0
2	8	14/1
3	5	19/3
4	10	29/3
5	6	35/3
6	15	50/3
7	9	59/3
8	10	69/3
9	9	78/3
10	2	80/3
11	13	93/3
12	2	95/4
13	4	99/4
14	3	102/5
15	3	105/5
16	9	114/5
17	19	133/6
18	6	139/7
19	8	147/7
20	5	152/9

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