Chennai Super KingsversusSunrisers Hyderabad

5 Apr 2024 · T20

Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sunrisers Hyderabad won by 6 wickets

Chennai Super Kings20.0 overs165/5 Sunrisers Hyderabad18.1 overs166/4 Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Chennai Super Kings started on 56%; Chennai Super Kings batted first.

Chennai Super Kings’s chance of winning (%) · Sunrisers Hyderabad is the rest

Chennai Super Kings's chances ranged from 0% to 72% during the match (Sunrisers Hyderabad: 28% to 100%).

Biggest swings

3.1: B Kumar to R Ravindra, R Ravindra out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 35% to 45%.
2nd inns 1.5: Mukesh Choudhary to Abhishek Sharma, six by Abhishek Sharma. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 63% to 74%.
2nd inns 2.4: DL Chahar to Abhishek Sharma, Abhishek Sharma out. Chennai Super Kings up from 15% to 23%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Chennai Super Kings165/5 Sunrisers Hyderabad166/4

Innings 1