Sunrisers HyderabadversusPunjab Kings

11 Apr 2026 · T20

Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, New Chandigarh · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Punjab Kings won by 6 wickets

Sunrisers Hyderabad20.0 overs219/6 Punjab Kings18.5 overs223/4 Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, New Chandigarh ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 43%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Punjab Kings is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 0% to 93% during the match (Punjab Kings: 7% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 6.2: Shivang Kumar to Priyansh Arya, Priyansh Arya out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 18% to 28%.
2nd inns 8.5: Shivang Kumar to P Simran Singh, P Simran Singh out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 23% to 34%.
2nd inns 10.2: Shivang Kumar to C Connolly, C Connolly out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 29% to 41%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad219/6 Punjab Kings223/4

Innings 1