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Women Central Europe Cup · 2024 · Women
14 Jun 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Gibraltar more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Gibraltar started on 51%; Gibraltar batted first.
Gibraltar's chances ranged from 47% to 100% during the match (Czech Republic: 0% to 53%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIV Benatarcaught · J Kominkova · M Ulmanova 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · J Kominkova · b M Ulmanova | 12 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 92.31 |
| N Caruananot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 49* | 61 | 3 | 0 | 80.33 |
| RA Reillybowled · M Ulmanova 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b M Ulmanova | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| EAS Ferrarybowled · A Kshirsagar 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b A Kshirsagar | 15 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 75.00 |
| CT McNallybowled · A Kshirsagar 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b A Kshirsagar | 12 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 66.67 |
| LJ Payasnot out1 fours · 0 sixes |
| not out |
| 16* |
| 9 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 177.78 |
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 23 · noballs: 7 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T Kolcunova0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 5.00 | 3 | 0 |
| M Ulmanova0 maidens · 7 wides · 3 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 7 | 3 |
| A Kshirsagar0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 4 | 0 |
| S Kolcunova0 maidens · 6 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.50 | 6 | 2 |
| J Kominkova0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 2 | 1 |
| E Kuncova0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 7.67 | 1 | 1 |
1-23 (AIV Benatar, 4.0) · 2-31 (RA Reilly, 5.3) · 3-67 (EAS Ferrary, 10.5) · 4-113 (CT McNally, 17.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 23/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 29/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 34/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 42/2 |
| 8 | 2 | 44/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 52/2 |
| 10 | 12 | 64/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 67/3 |
| 12 | 14 | 81/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 85/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 91/3 |
| 15 | 9 | 100/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 105/3 |
| 17 | 7 | 112/3 |
| 18 | 7 | 119/4 |
| 19 | 9 | 128/4 |
| 20 | 13 | 141/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.