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New Zealand tour of India · 2024/25 · Men
24 Oct 2024 · Test
Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, Pune · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tom Lathamlbw · Ravichandran Ashwin2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ravichandran Ashwin | 15 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 68.18 |
| Devon Conwaycaught · Rishabh Pant · Ravichandran Ashwin 11 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Ravichandran Ashwin | 76 | 141 | 11 | 0 | 53.90 |
 Will Youngcaught · Rishabh Pant · Ravichandran Ashwin2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Ravichandran Ashwin | 18 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 40.00 |
 |
| bowled · b Washington Sundar |
| 65 |
| 105 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 61.90 |
| Daryl Mitchelllbw · Washington Sundar 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Washington Sundar | 18 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Tom Blundellbowled · Washington Sundar0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Washington Sundar | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Glenn Phillipscaught · Ravichandran Ashwin · Washington Sundar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ravichandran Ashwin · b Washington Sundar | 9 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 29.03 |
|---|
| Mitchell Santnerbowled · Washington Sundar 3 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Washington Sundar | 33 | 51 | 3 | 2 | 64.71 |
|---|
 Tim Southeebowled · Washington Sundar1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Washington Sundar | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
 Ajaz Patelbowled · Washington Sundar1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Washington Sundar | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
 William O’Rourkenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 8 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 0 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jasprit Bumrah2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Akash Deep0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 6.83 | 0 | 1 |
 Ravichandran Ashwin2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 24.0 | 2 | 64 | 3 | 2.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Washington Sundar4 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 23.1 | 4 | 59 | 7 | 2.55 | 0 | 1 |
 Ravindra Jadeja0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 18.0 | 0 | 53 | 0 | 2.94 | 0 | 1 |
1-32 (Tom Latham, 7.5) · 2-76 (Will Young, 24.0) · 3-138 (Devon Conway, 43.2) · 4-197 (Rachin Ravindra, 59.1) · 5-201 (Tom Blundell, 62.0) · 6-204 (Daryl Mitchell, 63.3) · 7-236 (Glenn Phillips, 73.4) · 8-242 (Tim Southee, 75.1) · 9-252 (Ajaz Patel, 78.0) · 10-259 (Mitchell Santner, 79.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 7/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 18/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 18/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 23/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 30/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 32/1 |
| 9 | 0 | 32/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 34/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 38/1 |
| 12 | 6 | 44/1 |
| 13 | 1 | 45/1 |
| 14 | 4 | 49/1 |
| 15 | 0 | 49/1 |
| 16 | 3 | 52/1 |
| 17 | 0 | 52/1 |
| 18 | 4 | 56/1 |
| 19 | 5 | 61/1 |
| 20 | 3 | 64/1 |
| 21 | 5 | 69/1 |
| 22 | 2 | 71/1 |
| 23 | 3 | 74/1 |
| 24 | 2 | 76/2 |
| 25 | 3 | 79/2 |
| 26 | 1 | 80/2 |
| 27 | 3 | 83/2 |
| 28 | 4 | 87/2 |
| 29 | 1 | 88/2 |
| 30 | 3 | 91/2 |
| 31 | 1 | 92/2 |
| 32 | 12 | 104/2 |
| 33 | 3 | 107/2 |
| 34 | 4 | 111/2 |
| 35 | 2 | 113/2 |
| 36 | 1 | 114/2 |
| 37 | 1 | 115/2 |
| 38 | 5 | 120/2 |
| 39 | 7 | 127/2 |
| 40 | 3 | 130/2 |
| 41 | 3 | 133/2 |
| 42 | 0 | 133/2 |
| 43 | 4 | 137/2 |
| 44 | 3 | 140/3 |
| 45 | 2 | 142/3 |
| 46 | 1 | 143/3 |
| 47 | 2 | 145/3 |
| 48 | 3 | 148/3 |
| 49 | 8 | 156/3 |
| 50 | 3 | 159/3 |
| 51 | 6 | 165/3 |
| 52 | 2 | 167/3 |
| 53 | 2 | 169/3 |
| 54 | 2 | 171/3 |
| 55 | 3 | 174/3 |
| 56 | 11 | 185/3 |
| 57 | 2 | 187/3 |
| 58 | 9 | 196/3 |
| 59 | 1 | 197/3 |
| 60 | 1 | 198/4 |
| 61 | 1 | 199/4 |
| 62 | 2 | 201/5 |
| 63 | 3 | 204/5 |
| 64 | 4 | 208/6 |
| 65 | 2 | 210/6 |
| 66 | 11 | 221/6 |
| 67 | 5 | 226/6 |
| 68 | 1 | 227/6 |
| 69 | 3 | 230/6 |
| 70 | 2 | 232/6 |
| 71 | 0 | 232/6 |
| 72 | 1 | 233/6 |
| 73 | 2 | 235/6 |
| 74 | 1 | 236/7 |
| 75 | 6 | 242/7 |
| 76 | 0 | 242/8 |
| 77 | 5 | 247/8 |
| 78 | 5 | 252/9 |
| 79 | 7 | 259/9 |
| 80 | 0 | 259/10 |
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ajaz Patel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ravichandran Ashwin: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 3.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Tim Southee: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Virat Kohli: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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