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Photo: Will Noakes
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
31 May 2026 · T20
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
Warwickshire started on 50%; Warwickshire batted first.
Warwickshire's chances ranged from 1% to 82% during the match (Northamptonshire: 18% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z Malikcaught · Nathan McSweeney · James Sales 1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Nathan McSweeney · b James Sales | 24 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 240.00 |
| Rob Yatescaught · George Scrimshaw · David Willey 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · George Scrimshaw · b David Willey | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Beau Webstercaught · Nathan McSweeney · Ben Sanderson10 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Nathan McSweeney · b Ben Sanderson | 97 | 56 | 10 | 5 | 173.21 |
| Sam Hainstumped · Lewis McManus · Calvin Harrison 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Lewis McManus · b Calvin Harrison | 19 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 111.76 |
| Ed Barnardbowled · James Sales 2 fours · 3 sixes |
| bowled · b James Sales |
| 40 |
| 25 |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 160.00 |
 Jordan Thompsonrun out · Ben Sanderson · Ben Sanderson2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ben Sanderson | 15 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
 Chris Woakesrun out · Ben Sanderson · Ben Sanderson0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ben Sanderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Kai Smithnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 10 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Willey0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 47 | 1 | 11.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Ben Sanderson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 1 | 0 |
| James Sales0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 63 | 2 | 15.75 | 7 | 0 |
| Nathan McSweeney0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Calvin Harrison0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
 George Scrimshaw0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 1 |
1-1 (Rob Yates, 1.0) · 2-38 (Z Malik, 3.4) · 3-85 (Sam Hain, 9.3) · 4-167 (Ed Barnard, 16.3) · 5-208 (Jordan Thompson, 19.4) · 6-208 (Chris Woakes, 19.5) · 7-208 (Beau Webster, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 12 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 12 | 25/1 |
| 4 | 16 | 41/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 48/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 56/2 |
| 7 | 9 | 65/2 |
| 8 | 7 | 72/2 |
| 9 | 9 | 81/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 88/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 92/3 |
| 12 | 12 | 104/3 |
| 13 | 8 | 112/3 |
| 14 | 27 | 139/3 |
| 15 | 6 | 145/3 |
| 16 | 14 | 159/3 |
| 17 | 12 | 171/4 |
| 18 | 12 | 183/4 |
| 19 | 21 | 204/4 |
| 20 | 4 | 208/7 |
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
George Scrimshaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Oliver Hannon-Dalby: Dave Morton · Public domain
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Lynn: Haley Jackson · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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