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Photo: Marc Dalmulder from Hamlyn Terrace, Australia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2023/24 · Men
24 Jan 2024 · T20
Sydney Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Brisbane Heat started on 41%; Brisbane Heat batted first.
Brisbane Heat's chances ranged from 28% to 100% during the match (Sydney Sixers: 0% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Brownlbw · Stephen O'Keefe 5 fours · 3 sixes | lbw · b Stephen O'Keefe | 53 | 38 | 5 | 3 | 139.47 |
 James Peirsoncaught · Josh Philippe · Sean Abbott1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Philippe · b Sean Abbott | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Nathan McSweeneycaught · Todd Murphy · Ben Dwarshuis 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Todd Murphy · b Ben Dwarshuis | 33 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 103.13 |
 Matt Renshawrun out · Jack Edwards, Josh Philippe, Sean Abbott · Jack Edwards4 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Jack Edwards, Josh Philippe, Sean Abbott | 40 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 181.82 |
| caught · Moisés Henriques · b Sean Abbott |
| 29 |
| 19 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 152.63 |
| Paul Waltercaught · M Perry · Sean Abbott 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Perry · b Sean Abbott | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
 Michael Nesercaught · Todd Murphy · Sean Abbott0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Todd Murphy · b Sean Abbott | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Xavier Bartlettrun out · Jack Edwards, Moisés Henriques · Jack Edwards 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Jack Edwards, Moisés Henriques | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Spencer Johnsonnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sean Abbott0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 4 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Jack Edwards0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Hayden Kerr0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 16.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Stephen O'Keefe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Dwarshuis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Todd Murphy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (James Peirson, 0.5) · 2-90 (Nathan McSweeney, 12.0) · 3-90 (Josh Brown, 12.2) · 4-147 (Max Bryant, 18.1) · 5-153 (Paul Walter, 18.5) · 6-153 (Michael Neser, 19.0) · 7-156 (Xavier Bartlett, 19.2) · 8-166 (Matt Renshaw, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 2 | 7/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 10/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 16/1 |
| 5 | 14 | 30/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 33/1 |
| 7 | 14 | 47/1 |
| 8 | 10 | 57/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 63/1 |
| 10 | 18 | 81/1 |
| 11 | 6 | 87/1 |
| 12 | 3 | 90/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 97/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 103/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 111/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 116/3 |
| 17 | 18 | 134/3 |
| 18 | 13 | 147/3 |
| 19 | 6 | 153/6 |
| 20 | 13 | 166/8 |
Moisés Henriques: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Michael Neser: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Peirson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Hayden Kerr: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Stephen O'Keefe: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Todd Murphy: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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