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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
2 Jun 2024 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Lancashire started on 56%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 50% to 100% during the match (Derbyshire: 0% to 50%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Bohannoncaught · Mitch Wagstaff · Zak Chappell 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mitch Wagstaff · b Zak Chappell | 39 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 162.50 |
| Luke Wellsbowled · Daryn Dupavillon 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Daryn Dupavillon | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 55.56 |
| Keaton Jenningscaught · Mitch Wagstaff · Patrick Brown 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mitch Wagstaff · b Patrick Brown | 16 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 145.45 |
| Tom Brucecaught · Ross Whiteley · Zak Chappell 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ross Whiteley · b Zak Chappell | 35 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 125.00 |
 Luke Woodstumped · Brooke Guest · Samit Patel0 fours · 0 sixes |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Matthew Hurstcaught · Patrick Brown · Zak Chappell 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Patrick Brown · b Zak Chappell | 27 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 108.00 |
|---|
 Steven Croftcaught · Ross Whiteley · Patrick Brown1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ross Whiteley · b Patrick Brown | 17 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 170.00 |
|---|
 Chris Greennot out1 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 22* | 11 | 1 | 2 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Tom Aspinwallnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 9 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zak Chappell0 maidens · 3 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 3 | 9.50 | 3 | 2 |
| Daryn Dupavillon0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 0 | 2 |
| Patrick Brown0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Mitch Wagstaff0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 11.00 | 3 | 0 |
 Samit Patel0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Luis Reece0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-45 (Luke Wells, 5.0) · 2-50 (Josh Bohannon, 6.0) · 3-74 (Keaton Jennings, 8.1) · 4-83 (Luke Wood, 9.1) · 5-121 (Tom Bruce, 14.3) · 6-151 (Matthew Hurst, 17.4) · 7-153 (Steven Croft, 18.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 16 | 28/0 |
| 4 | 14 | 42/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 45/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 50/2 |
| 7 | 13 | 63/2 |
| 8 | 11 | 74/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 81/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 85/4 |
| 11 | 7 | 92/4 |
| 12 | 8 | 100/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 104/4 |
| 14 | 9 | 113/4 |
| 15 | 15 | 128/5 |
| 16 | 6 | 134/5 |
| 17 | 6 | 140/5 |
| 18 | 12 | 152/6 |
| 19 | 5 | 157/7 |
| 20 | 22 | 179/7 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Luis Reece: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brooke Guest: Dave Morton · Public domain
Steven Croft: AMBerry · CC BY-SA 3.0
Anuj Dal: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Came: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Samit Patel: Oliver Brown · CC BY-SA 3.0
Mitch Wagstaff: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Chappell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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