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Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier · 2025/26 · Women
26 Jan 2026 · T20
Tribhuvan University International Cricket Ground, Kirtipur · Venue photographRecorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 14%; Namibia batted first.
Namibia's chances ranged from 0% to 17% during the match (Ireland: 83% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrasta Diergaardtlbw · Alana Dalzell 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Alana Dalzell | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Yasmeen Khancaught · Gaby Lewis · Orla Prendergast 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gaby Lewis · b Orla Prendergast | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Kayleen Greencaught · Arlene Kelly · LA McBride 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Arlene Kelly · b LA McBride | 32 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 139.13 |
| M Gorasesbowled · LA McBride 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b LA McBride | 19 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 63.33 |
| Wilka Mwatilecaught · Orla Prendergast · LA McBride 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Orla Prendergast · b LA McBride | 28 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 103.70 |
| bowled · b Jane Maguire |
| 11 |
| 8 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 137.50 |
| N Benjaminbowled · Jane Maguire 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jane Maguire | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| M Mwatilenot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Sylvia Shihepocaught · Orla Prendergast · Jane Maguire 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Orla Prendergast · b Jane Maguire | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Eveleen Kejarukuanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alana Dalzell2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Orla Prendergast0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Jane Maguire0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
| LA McBride0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Arlene Kelly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 3.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Louise Little0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Yasmeen Khan, 1.3) · 2-8 (Arrasta Diergaardt, 2.4) · 3-37 (Kayleen Green, 6.4) · 4-85 (M Gorases, 15.2) · 5-86 (Wilka Mwatile, 16.0) · 6-96 (Sune Wittmann, 16.5) · 7-103 (N Benjamin, 18.1) · 8-103 (Sylvia Shihepo, 18.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 8/2 |
| 4 | 7 | 15/2 |
| 5 | 9 | 24/2 |
| 6 | 11 | 35/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 37/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 40/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 45/3 |
| 10 | 1 | 46/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 55/3 |
| 12 | 9 | 64/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 68/3 |
| 14 | 7 | 75/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 83/3 |
| 16 | 3 | 86/5 |
| 17 | 10 | 96/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 103/6 |
| 19 | 1 | 104/8 |
| 20 | 3 | 107/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.