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Gulf T20I Championship · 2024/25 · Men
21 Dec 2024 · T20
Dubai International Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 77%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 13% to 98% during the match (Kuwait: 2% to 87%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T Suricaught · Sayed Monib · Meet Bhavsar 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sayed Monib · b Meet Bhavsar | 34 | 32 | 0 | 1 | 106.25 |
| Waseem Muhammadcaught · Meet Bhavsar · Mohamed Shafeeq 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Meet Bhavsar · b Mohamed Shafeeq | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10.00 |
 Alishan Sharafubowled · Sayed Monib3 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Sayed Monib | 28 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 164.71 |
| Asif Khancaught · Yasin Patel · Meet Bhavsar 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Yasin Patel · b Meet Bhavsar | 23 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 100.00 |
| Rahul Chopracaught · Yasin Patel · Sayed Monib 3 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · Yasin Patel · b Sayed Monib |
| 28 |
| 17 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 164.71 |
| Ali Naseercaught · Clinto Anto · Yasin Patel 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Clinto Anto · b Yasin Patel | 14 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 155.56 |
|---|
| D Parasharcaught · Bilal Tahir · Yasin Patel 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Bilal Tahir · b Yasin Patel | 15 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 187.50 |
|---|
| Junaid Siddiquecaught · Bilal Tahir · Sayed Monib 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Bilal Tahir · b Sayed Monib | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Nilansh Keswaninot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 1 | 1 | 0 | 400.00 |
|---|
| Muhammad Jawadullahstumped · Usman Patel · Yasin Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Usman Patel · b Yasin Patel | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Shafeeq0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Yasin Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Sayed Monib0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 10.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Mohomad Aslam0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Meet Bhavsar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Adnan Idrees0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 13.67 | 3 | 0 |
1-6 (Waseem Muhammad, 2.4) · 2-38 (Alishan Sharafu, 6.2) · 3-80 (Asif Khan, 12.4) · 4-91 (T Suri, 14.2) · 5-120 (Ali Naseer, 16.4) · 6-140 (Rahul Chopra, 18.4) · 7-141 (Junaid Siddique, 18.5) · 8-153 (D Parashar, 19.4) · 9-153 (Muhammad Jawadullah, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 7/1 |
| 4 | 10 | 17/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 29/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 37/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 43/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 48/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 50/2 |
| 10 | 11 | 61/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 65/2 |
| 12 | 11 | 76/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 83/3 |
| 14 | 7 | 90/3 |
| 15 | 3 | 93/4 |
| 16 | 19 | 112/4 |
| 17 | 9 | 121/5 |
| 18 | 11 | 132/5 |
| 19 | 13 | 145/7 |
| 20 | 8 | 153/9 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
