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South Africa tour of India · 2025/26 · Men
22 Nov 2025 · Test
Barsapara Cricket Stadium, Guwahati · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aiden Markrambowled · Jasprit Bumrah5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jasprit Bumrah | 38 | 81 | 5 | 0 | 46.91 |
 Ryan Rickeltoncaught · Rishabh Pant · Kuldeep Yadav5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Kuldeep Yadav | 35 | 82 | 5 | 0 | 42.68 |
| Tristan Stubbscaught · KL Rahul · Kuldeep Yadav 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · KL Rahul · b Kuldeep Yadav | 49 | 112 | 4 | 2 | 43.75 |
 |
| caught · Yashasvi Jaiswal · b Ravindra Jadeja |
| 41 |
| 92 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 44.57 |
| Tony de Zorzicaught · Rishabh Pant · Mohammed Siraj 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Mohammed Siraj | 28 | 59 | 3 | 1 | 47.46 |
|---|
 Wiaan Muldercaught · Yashasvi Jaiswal · Kuldeep Yadav2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Yashasvi Jaiswal · b Kuldeep Yadav | 13 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 72.22 |
|---|
| Senuran Muthusamycaught · Yashasvi Jaiswal · Mohammed Siraj 10 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Yashasvi Jaiswal · b Mohammed Siraj | 109 | 206 | 10 | 2 | 52.91 |
|---|
| Kyle Verreynnestumped · Rishabh Pant · Ravindra Jadeja 5 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Rishabh Pant · b Ravindra Jadeja | 45 | 122 | 5 | 0 | 36.89 |
|---|
 Marco Jansenbowled · Kuldeep Yadav6 fours · 7 sixes | bowled · b Kuldeep Yadav | 93 | 91 | 6 | 7 | 102.20 |
|---|
 Simon Harmerbowled · Jasprit Bumrah0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jasprit Bumrah | 5 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 29.41 |
|---|
 Keshav Maharajnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 31 | 1 | 0 | 38.71 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 8 · legbyes: 8 · wides: 1 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jasprit Bumrah10 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 32.0 | 10 | 75 | 2 | 2.34 | 0 | 2 |
 Mohammed Siraj5 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 30.0 | 5 | 106 | 2 | 3.53 | 1 | 1 |
 Nitish Kumar Reddy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 4.17 | 0 | 0 |
 Washington Sundar5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 26.0 | 5 | 58 | 0 | 2.23 | 0 | 0 |
 Kuldeep Yadav4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 29.1 | 4 | 115 | 4 | 3.94 | 0 | 0 |
 Ravindra Jadeja2 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 28.0 | 2 | 94 | 2 | 3.36 | 0 | 1 |
1-82 (Aiden Markram, 26.5) · 2-82 (Ryan Rickelton, 27.2) · 3-166 (Temba Bavuma, 57.2) · 4-187 (Tristan Stubbs, 63.1) · 5-201 (Wiaan Mulder, 67.2) · 6-246 (Tony de Zorzi, 81.1) · 7-334 (Kyle Verreynne, 120.3) · 8-431 (Senuran Muthusamy, 138.1) · 9-462 (Simon Harmer, 143.1) · 10-489 (Marco Jansen, 151.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 11/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 12/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 12/0 |
| 7 | 5 | 17/0 |
| 8 | 5 | 22/0 |
| 9 | 0 | 22/0 |
| 10 | 4 | 26/0 |
| 11 | 0 | 26/0 |
| 12 | 8 | 34/0 |
| 13 | 5 | 39/0 |
| 14 | 5 | 44/0 |
| 15 | 3 | 47/0 |
| 16 | 2 | 49/0 |
| 17 | 9 | 58/0 |
| 18 | 1 | 59/0 |
| 19 | 1 | 60/0 |
| 20 | 1 | 61/0 |
| 21 | 0 | 61/0 |
| 22 | 8 | 69/0 |
| 23 | 6 | 75/0 |
| 24 | 3 | 78/0 |
| 25 | 1 | 79/0 |
| 26 | 3 | 82/0 |
| 27 | 0 | 82/1 |
| 28 | 1 | 83/2 |
| 29 | 4 | 87/2 |
| 30 | 5 | 92/2 |
| 31 | 1 | 93/2 |
| 32 | 1 | 94/2 |
| 33 | 8 | 102/2 |
| 34 | 1 | 103/2 |
| 35 | 0 | 103/2 |
| 36 | 1 | 104/2 |
| 37 | 9 | 113/2 |
| 38 | 4 | 117/2 |
| 39 | 3 | 120/2 |
| 40 | 1 | 121/2 |
| 41 | 1 | 122/2 |
| 42 | 7 | 129/2 |
| 43 | 3 | 132/2 |
| 44 | 0 | 132/2 |
| 45 | 2 | 134/2 |
| 46 | 1 | 135/2 |
| 47 | 1 | 136/2 |
| 48 | 0 | 136/2 |
| 49 | 6 | 142/2 |
| 50 | 5 | 147/2 |
| 51 | 1 | 148/2 |
| 52 | 0 | 148/2 |
| 53 | 3 | 151/2 |
| 54 | 3 | 154/2 |
| 55 | 2 | 156/2 |
| 56 | 4 | 160/2 |
| 57 | 6 | 166/2 |
| 58 | 1 | 167/3 |
| 59 | 2 | 169/3 |
| 60 | 1 | 170/3 |
| 61 | 6 | 176/3 |
| 62 | 7 | 183/3 |
| 63 | 4 | 187/3 |
| 64 | 1 | 188/4 |
| 65 | 8 | 196/4 |
| 66 | 2 | 198/4 |
| 67 | 3 | 201/4 |
| 68 | 0 | 201/5 |
| 69 | 5 | 206/5 |
| 70 | 6 | 212/5 |
| 71 | 0 | 212/5 |
| 72 | 12 | 224/5 |
| 73 | 1 | 225/5 |
| 74 | 0 | 225/5 |
| 75 | 0 | 225/5 |
| 76 | 1 | 226/5 |
| 77 | 3 | 229/5 |
| 78 | 4 | 233/5 |
| 79 | 9 | 242/5 |
| 80 | 0 | 242/5 |
| 81 | 4 | 246/5 |
| 82 | 2 | 248/6 |
| 83 | 0 | 248/6 |
| 84 | 5 | 253/6 |
| 85 | 0 | 253/6 |
| 86 | 0 | 253/6 |
| 87 | 0 | 253/6 |
| 88 | 3 | 256/6 |
| 89 | 3 | 259/6 |
| 90 | 0 | 259/6 |
| 91 | 2 | 261/6 |
| 92 | 5 | 266/6 |
| 93 | 3 | 269/6 |
| 94 | 3 | 272/6 |
| 95 | 3 | 275/6 |
| 96 | 6 | 281/6 |
| 97 | 2 | 283/6 |
| 98 | 1 | 284/6 |
| 99 | 4 | 288/6 |
| 100 | 1 | 289/6 |
| 101 | 5 | 294/6 |
| 102 | 1 | 295/6 |
| 103 | 5 | 300/6 |
| 104 | 3 | 303/6 |
| 105 | 0 | 303/6 |
| 106 | 2 | 305/6 |
| 107 | 2 | 307/6 |
| 108 | 1 | 308/6 |
| 109 | 1 | 309/6 |
| 110 | 0 | 309/6 |
| 111 | 7 | 316/6 |
| 112 | 6 | 322/6 |
| 113 | 1 | 323/6 |
| 114 | 0 | 323/6 |
| 115 | 5 | 328/6 |
| 116 | 1 | 329/6 |
| 117 | 1 | 330/6 |
| 118 | 0 | 330/6 |
| 119 | 2 | 332/6 |
| 120 | 1 | 333/6 |
| 121 | 2 | 335/7 |
| 122 | 3 | 338/7 |
| 123 | 7 | 345/7 |
| 124 | 7 | 352/7 |
| 125 | 6 | 358/7 |
| 126 | 2 | 360/7 |
| 127 | 7 | 367/7 |
| 128 | 12 | 379/7 |
| 129 | 5 | 384/7 |
| 130 | 8 | 392/7 |
| 131 | 6 | 398/7 |
| 132 | 3 | 401/7 |
| 133 | 2 | 403/7 |
| 134 | 13 | 416/7 |
| 135 | 6 | 422/7 |
| 136 | 2 | 424/7 |
| 137 | 4 | 428/7 |
| 138 | 3 | 431/7 |
| 139 | 0 | 431/8 |
| 140 | 13 | 444/8 |
| 141 | 12 | 456/8 |
| 142 | 2 | 458/8 |
| 143 | 4 | 462/8 |
| 144 | 5 | 467/9 |
| 145 | 1 | 468/9 |
| 146 | 2 | 470/9 |
| 147 | 7 | 477/9 |
| 148 | 3 | 480/9 |
| 149 | 3 | 483/9 |
| 150 | 5 | 488/9 |
| 151 | 1 | 489/9 |
| 152 | 0 | 489/10 |
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Temba Bavuma: Michael Sherman · CC BY 3.0
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nitish Kumar Reddy: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Kuldeep Yadav: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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