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Photo: Rorser at English Wikipedia
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Pakistan Women tour of Ireland · 2025 · Women
10 Aug 2025 · T20
Clontarf Cricket Club Ground, Dublin · Venue photographRecorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Ireland started on 85%; Ireland batted first.
Ireland's chances ranged from 0% to 94% during the match (Pakistan: 7% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hunterbowled · Waheeda Akhtar 3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Waheeda Akhtar | 29 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 87.88 |
| Gaby Lewislbw · Rameen Shamim 8 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Rameen Shamim | 36 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 163.64 |
| Orla Prendergastnot out 8 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 64* | 46 | 8 | 0 | 139.13 |
| Leah Paulcaught and bowled · Sadia Iqbal 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Sadia Iqbal | 11 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 84.62 |
| Rebecca Stokellbowled · Fatima Sana 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Fatima Sana | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
| Laura Delanynot out1 fours · 0 sixes |
| not out |
| 5* |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 250.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatima Sana0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 2 |
| Sadia Iqbal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Waheeda Akhtar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Rameen Shamim0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nashra Sandhu0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Tuba Hassan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-52 (Gaby Lewis, 5.5) · 2-86 (Amy Hunter, 11.3) · 3-121 (Leah Paul, 16.2) · 4-140 (Rebecca Stokell, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 27/0 |
| 4 | 14 | 41/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 48/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 52/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 61/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 68/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 72/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 79/1 |
| 11 | 6 | 85/1 |
| 12 | 1 | 86/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 92/2 |
| 14 | 9 | 101/2 |
| 15 | 10 | 111/2 |
| 16 | 9 | 120/2 |
| 17 | 6 | 126/3 |
| 18 | 8 | 134/3 |
| 19 | 6 | 140/3 |
| 20 | 15 | 155/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.