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Asian Games Men's Qualifier · 2026 · Men
7 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Nepal more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Oman started on 26%; Oman batted first.
Oman's chances ranged from 0% to 27% during the match (Nepal: 73% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammed Al Balushicaught · Shahab Alam · Kushal Malla 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shahab Alam · b Kushal Malla | 9 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 64.29 |
| Shuaib Al Balushicaught · Shahab Alam · Karan KC 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shahab Alam · b Karan KC | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Nawed Al Balushibowled · Karan KC 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Karan KC | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Zubair Al Balushicaught · Rohit Kumar · Sandeep Lamichhane 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rohit Kumar · b Sandeep Lamichhane | 22 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 157.14 |
| Sufyan Mehmoodcaught · Kushal Bhurtel · Sompal Kami 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Kushal Bhurtel · b Sompal Kami | 38 | 42 | 2 | 2 | 90.48 |
| Rashad Al Balushilbw · Sandeep Lamichhane 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| lbw · b Sandeep Lamichhane |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Muzaffar Shiralkarbowled · Dipendra Singh Airee 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Dipendra Singh Airee | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Abdul Jalilcaught · Kushal Malla · Sompal Kami 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kushal Malla · b Sompal Kami | 16 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 114.29 |
|---|
| Issa Al Balushicaught · Aasif Sheikh · Karan KC 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aasif Sheikh · b Karan KC | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
|---|
| Wasim Al Balushibowled · Shahab Alam 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shahab Alam | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11.11 |
|---|
| Sameer Othmannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Karan KC1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 20 | 3 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Shahab Alam1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 1 | 19 | 1 | 5.18 | 1 | 0 |
 Kushal Malla0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Dipendra Singh Airee1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 2.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Sompal Kami1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Sandeep Lamichhane0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Shuaib Al Balushi, 2.5) · 2-9 (Nawed Al Balushi, 3.0) · 3-9 (Mohammed Al Balushi, 3.5) · 4-44 (Zubair Al Balushi, 9.3) · 5-44 (Rashad Al Balushi, 9.4) · 6-49 (Muzaffar Shiralkar, 10.2) · 7-79 (Abdul Jalil, 14.4) · 8-83 (Issa Al Balushi, 16.3) · 9-94 (Sufyan Mehmood, 18.2) · 10-94 (Wasim Al Balushi, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 9/2 |
| 4 | 1 | 10/3 |
| 5 | 9 | 19/3 |
| 6 | 0 | 19/3 |
| 7 | 10 | 29/3 |
| 8 | 7 | 36/3 |
| 9 | 7 | 43/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 48/5 |
| 11 | 1 | 49/6 |
| 12 | 4 | 53/6 |
| 13 | 7 | 60/6 |
| 14 | 10 | 70/6 |
| 15 | 9 | 79/7 |
| 16 | 3 | 82/7 |
| 17 | 3 | 85/8 |
| 18 | 9 | 94/8 |
| 19 | 0 | 94/9 |
| 20 | 0 | 94/10 |
Sompal Kami: सरोज कुमार ढकाल · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sandeep Lamichhane: Deshsanchar · CC BY 3.0
Rohit Kumar: Cricnepal · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kushal Bhurtel: Kushal Bhurtel · CC BY-SA 4.0
Karan KC: Helloworld3377 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dipendra Singh Airee: Dipendra Singh Airee · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aarif Sheikh: Nepalese Diaspora · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kushal Malla: Hamro Khelkud · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
