Sunrisers HyderabadversusRajasthan Royals

13 Apr 2026 · T20

Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sunrisers Hyderabad won by 57 runs

Sunrisers Hyderabad20.0 overs216/6 Rajasthan Royals19.0 overs159/10 Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 45%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Rajasthan Royals is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 28% to 100% during the match (Rajasthan Royals: 0% to 72%).

Biggest swings

0.1: JC Archer to Abhishek Sharma, Abhishek Sharma out. Rajasthan Royals up from 54% to 71%.
6.5: R Parag to TM Head, TM Head out. Rajasthan Royals up from 51% to 60%.
2nd inns 0.2: PP Hinge to V Suryavanshi, V Suryavanshi out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 70% to 81%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad216/6 Rajasthan Royals159/10

Innings 1