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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
29 May 2026 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Lancashire started on 63%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 1% to 64% during the match (Leicestershire: 36% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Jenningsbowled · Ian Holland 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ian Holland | 10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 90.91 |
| Matthew Hurstcaught · Rishi Patel · Liam Trevaskis 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rishi Patel · b Liam Trevaskis | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Liam Livingstonecaught · Ben Mike · Liam Trevaskis 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Mike · b Liam Trevaskis | 15 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 136.36 |
| Ben McDermottcaught · Ian Holland · Ben Green 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ian Holland · b Ben Green | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
| J Moorescaught · Ashton Turner 4 fours · 3 sixes | caught · b Ashton Turner | 55 | 39 | 4 | 3 | 141.03 |
| caught · Nick Kelly · b Josh Davey |
| 28 |
| 23 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 121.74 |
| Harry Singhrun out · Ben Mike, Ben Cox · Josh Davey 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ben Mike, Ben Cox | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Tom Hartleycaught · Ben Cox · Josh Davey0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Cox · b Josh Davey | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| George Baldersonbowled · Ben Green 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ben Green | 14 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 127.27 |
|---|
| Tom Aspinwallnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Trevaskis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Josh Davey0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 8.33 | 1 | 0 |
 Ian Holland0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Ben Green0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 2 | 10.25 | 3 | 0 |
 Ashton Turner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben Mike0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-3 (Matthew Hurst, 0.5) · 2-25 (Keaton Jennings, 3.5) · 3-27 (Liam Livingstone, 4.5) · 4-36 (Ben McDermott, 6.3) · 5-116 (J Moores, 15.4) · 6-122 (Chris Green, 16.5) · 7-122 (Tom Hartley, 17.0) · 8-138 (Harry Singh, 18.5) · 9-145 (George Balderson, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 12 | 16/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 25/2 |
| 5 | 3 | 28/3 |
| 6 | 2 | 30/3 |
| 7 | 8 | 38/4 |
| 8 | 4 | 42/4 |
| 9 | 10 | 52/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 57/4 |
| 11 | 6 | 63/4 |
| 12 | 10 | 73/4 |
| 13 | 8 | 81/4 |
| 14 | 14 | 95/4 |
| 15 | 17 | 112/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 118/5 |
| 17 | 4 | 122/7 |
| 18 | 7 | 129/7 |
| 19 | 9 | 138/8 |
| 20 | 7 | 145/9 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Ben Mike: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Cox: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Josh Davey: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Saqib Mahmood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ian Holland: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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