Sharjah WarriorzversusDesert Vipers

26 Dec 2025 · T20

Sharjah Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Desert Vipers won by 5 wickets

Sharjah Warriorz20.0 overs140/7 Desert Vipers19.3 overs144/5 Sharjah Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sharjah Warriorz started on 40%; Sharjah Warriorz batted first.

Sharjah Warriorz’s chance of winning (%) · Desert Vipers is the rest

Sharjah Warriorz's chances ranged from 6% to 65% during the match (Desert Vipers: 35% to 94%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 15.1: Harmeet Singh to JJ Roy, JJ Roy out. Sharjah Warriorz up from 28% to 45%.
2nd inns 17.3: Harmeet Singh to Hassan Nawaz, six by Hassan Nawaz. Desert Vipers up from 41% to 60%.
2nd inns 19.2: Junaid Siddique to Hassan Nawaz, six by Hassan Nawaz. Desert Vipers up from 59% to 94%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sharjah Warriorz140/7 Desert Vipers144/5

Innings 1