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Photo: Mat Fascione
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Women · 2025 · Women
19 Jun 2025 · T20
Grace Road, Leicester · Venue photographRecorded result
Lancashire started on 33%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 0% to 59% during the match (The Blaze: 41% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Evelyn Jonescaught · Kirstie Gordon · Cassidy McCarthy1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kirstie Gordon · b Cassidy McCarthy | 10 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 58.82 |
| Emma Lambrun out · Sarah Glenn · Sarah Glenn 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Sarah Glenn | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 116.67 |
| Liberty Heapbowled · Kathryn Bryce 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kathryn Bryce | 11 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 55.00 |
 Eleanor Threlkeldcaught · Sarah Bryce · Georgia Elwiss0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sarah Bryce · b Georgia Elwiss | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
| caught · Marie Kelly · b Heather Graham |
| 79 |
| 38 |
| 9 |
| 3 |
| 207.89 |
 Fi Morriscaught · Sarah Glenn · Heather Graham3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sarah Glenn · b Heather Graham | 22 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 122.22 |
|---|
 Alana Kingcaught · Tammy Beaumont · Heather Graham0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tammy Beaumont · b Heather Graham | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Kate Crossstumped · Sarah Bryce · Kirstie Gordon0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Sarah Bryce · b Kirstie Gordon | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Tara Norriscaught · Heather Graham · Kirstie Gordon0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Heather Graham · b Kirstie Gordon | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Grace Pottsnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassidy McCarthy0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 3 | 0 |
 Kirstie Gordon0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Sarah Glenn0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Kathryn Bryce0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Heather Graham1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 36 | 3 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Georgia Elwiss0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-25 (Emma Lamb, 4.0) · 2-29 (Evelyn Jones, 6.0) · 3-41 (Eleanor Threlkeld, 9.1) · 4-65 (Liberty Heap, 11.1) · 5-129 (Fi Morris, 17.3) · 6-129 (Alana King, 17.4) · 7-134 (Kate Cross, 18.5) · 8-134 (Tara Norris, 19.0) · 9-150 (Ailsa Lister, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 18/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 25/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 28/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 29/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 31/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 37/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 41/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 47/3 |
| 11 | 18 | 65/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 71/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 77/4 |
| 14 | 11 | 88/4 |
| 15 | 15 | 103/4 |
| 16 | 10 | 113/4 |
| 17 | 16 | 129/4 |
| 18 | 0 | 129/6 |
| 19 | 5 | 134/8 |
| 20 | 16 | 150/9 |
Eleanor Threlkeld: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amy Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tara Norris: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kate Cross: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nat Sciver-Brunt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fi Morris: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tammy Beaumont: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kirstie Gordon: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Georgia Elwiss: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alana King: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sarah Glenn: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Evelyn Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Heather Graham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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