Jamaica KingsmenversusAntigua and Barbuda Falcons

20 Sept 2026 · T20

Kensington Oval · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Antigua and Barbuda Falcons won by 8 wickets

Jamaica Kingsmen20.0 overs170/9 Antigua and Barbuda Falcons16.4 overs173/2 Kensington Oval ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Jamaica Kingsmen started on 48%; Jamaica Kingsmen batted first.

Jamaica Kingsmen’s chance of winning (%) · Antigua and Barbuda Falcons is the rest

Jamaica Kingsmen's chances ranged from 0% to 81% during the match (Antigua and Barbuda Falcons: 19% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.6: JNT Seales to KSA McKenzie, KSA McKenzie out. Antigua and Barbuda Falcons up from 47% to 57%.
13.1: Sufiyan Muqeem to Hassan Khan, Hassan Khan out. Antigua and Barbuda Falcons up from 39% to 50%.
2nd inns 0.6: Saim Ayub to RRS Cornwall, RRS Cornwall out. Jamaica Kingsmen up from 52% to 63%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Jamaica Kingsmen170/9 Antigua and Barbuda Falcons173/2

Innings 1