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Photo: Gihan Jayaweera
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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India tour of Sri Lanka · 2024 · Men
30 Jul 2024 · T20
Pallekele International Cricket Stadium · Venue photographIndia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yashasvi Jaiswallbw · Mahesh Theekshana2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mahesh Theekshana | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 111.11 |
 Shubman Gillstumped · Kusal Mendis · Wanindu Hasaranga3 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Kusal Mendis · b Wanindu Hasaranga | 39 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 105.41 |
 Sanju Samsoncaught · Wanindu Hasaranga · Chamindu Wickramasinghe0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wanindu Hasaranga · b Chamindu Wickramasinghe | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Rinku Singhcaught · Matheesha Pathirana · Mahesh Theekshana 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Matheesha Pathirana · b Mahesh Theekshana |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
 Suryakumar Yadavcaught · Wanindu Hasaranga · Asitha Fernando1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wanindu Hasaranga · b Asitha Fernando | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 88.89 |
|---|
 Shivam Dubecaught · Kusal Mendis · Ramesh Mendis0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kusal Mendis · b Ramesh Mendis | 13 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 92.86 |
|---|
| Riyan Paragcaught · Ramesh Mendis · Wanindu Hasaranga 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Ramesh Mendis · b Wanindu Hasaranga | 26 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 144.44 |
|---|
 Washington Sundarbowled · Mahesh Theekshana2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Mahesh Theekshana | 25 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 138.89 |
|---|
| Ravi Bishnoinot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Mohammed Sirajrun out · Kusal Mendis · Mahesh Theekshana0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Kusal Mendis | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chamindu Wickramasinghe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Mahesh Theekshana0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 3 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Asitha Fernando0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Ramesh Mendis0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 8.67 | 3 | 0 |
 Wanindu Hasaranga0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Kamindu Mendis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-11 (Yashasvi Jaiswal, 2.0) · 2-12 (Sanju Samson, 2.5) · 3-14 (Rinku Singh, 3.1) · 4-30 (Suryakumar Yadav, 5.4) · 5-48 (Shivam Dube, 8.4) · 6-102 (Shubman Gill, 15.2) · 7-105 (Riyan Parag, 15.5) · 8-137 (Washington Sundar, 19.5) · 9-137 (Mohammed Siraj, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 13/2 |
| 4 | 8 | 21/3 |
| 5 | 7 | 28/3 |
| 6 | 2 | 30/4 |
| 7 | 5 | 35/4 |
| 8 | 9 | 44/4 |
| 9 | 9 | 53/5 |
| 10 | 6 | 59/5 |
| 11 | 9 | 68/5 |
| 12 | 6 | 74/5 |
| 13 | 7 | 81/5 |
| 14 | 15 | 96/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 102/5 |
| 16 | 3 | 105/7 |
| 17 | 11 | 116/7 |
| 18 | 4 | 120/7 |
| 19 | 8 | 128/7 |
| 20 | 9 | 137/9 |
Sanju Samson: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Wanindu Hasaranga: 04 ATM 04 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Suryakumar Yadav: Kolkata Knight Riders - Official · CC BY 3.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Shivam Dube: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Khaleel Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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