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Viking Cup · 2026 · Men
11 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Austria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Austria started on 57%; Austria batted first.
Austria's chances ranged from 0% to 58% during the match (Finland: 42% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karanbir Singhcaught · Junaid Khan (2) · Amjad Sher 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Junaid Khan (2) · b Amjad Sher | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Bilal Zalmaicaught · Faheem Nellancheri · Amjad Sher 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Faheem Nellancheri · b Amjad Sher | 12 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 85.71 |
| A Randhawacaught · Jordan O'Brien · NM Salonen 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jordan O'Brien · b NM Salonen | 9 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 39.13 |
| Shadnan Khanrun out · Faraaz Mehti Abbas, Jordan O'Brien · Amjad Sher 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Faraaz Mehti Abbas, Jordan O'Brien | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Zeshan Arifcaught · Jordan O'Brien · Amjad Sher 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jordan O'Brien · b Amjad Sher | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 0.00 |
| KR Jhabowled · Hammadullah Shinwari 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hammadullah Shinwari | 21 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 91.30 |
|---|
| Hamid Saficaught · Faraaz Mehti Abbas · Hammadullah Shinwari 0 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Faraaz Mehti Abbas · b Hammadullah Shinwari | 24 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 141.18 |
|---|
| Waqar Zalmaicaught · Kaif Jamadar · Hammadullah Shinwari 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kaif Jamadar · b Hammadullah Shinwari | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Irfan Safibowled · PEA Karunarathna 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b PEA Karunarathna | 8 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Baseer Khannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Nageebullah Sultanzaicaught · Zahidullah Kamal · Hammadullah Shinwari 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zahidullah Kamal · b Hammadullah Shinwari | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amjad Sher2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Hammadullah Shinwari0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 2.57 | 0 | 0 |
| PEA Karunarathna0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 2 | 0 |
| NM Salonen0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Junaid Khan (2)0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Karanbir Singh, 0.4) · 2-13 (Bilal Zalmai, 4.1) · 3-19 (Shadnan Khan, 6.2) · 4-19 (Zeshan Arif, 6.5) · 5-34 (A Randhawa, 9.4) · 6-67 (Hamid Safi, 13.4) · 7-67 (Waqar Zalmai, 14.0) · 8-76 (KR Jha, 15.5) · 9-83 (Irfan Safi, 16.5) · 10-86 (Nageebullah Sultanzai, 17.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 4/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 13/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 17/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 19/2 |
| 7 | 0 | 19/4 |
| 8 | 4 | 23/4 |
| 9 | 6 | 29/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 34/5 |
| 11 | 6 | 40/5 |
| 12 | 12 | 52/5 |
| 13 | 14 | 66/5 |
| 14 | 1 | 67/7 |
| 15 | 4 | 71/7 |
| 16 | 5 | 76/8 |
| 17 | 9 | 85/9 |
| 18 | 1 | 86/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.